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2023 College Football Bowl Confidence Pool: Picks and best bets for all 41 bowl games

Here’s how our staff rates all 41 games, in order of how likely they think the result will happen.

A Marshall Thundering Herd player looks at the Champions trophy after defeating the Connecticut Huskies at Brooks Stadium. David Yeazell-USA TODAY Sports

The college football postseason starts tomorrow, and with it comes a tradition unlike any other: The Bowl Confidence Pool, where you can cheer and taunt your friends on the way to victory while making every one of the postseason games between December 16 and January 1 matter.

But what’s a confidence pool? We explain the best way to enjoy college football’s silly season!

What is a confidence pool?

The confidence pool gives you a chance to pick not only who you think will win each of the 41 bowl games straight up with no spread involved, but also how confident you are about that result.

You rank all teams from 41-1 based on how likely you think that team is to win, with 41 being the most confident. Since the team you think is the most likely to be victorious is worth 41 points to your final score, the game about which you’re the least confident will only push your score up or down just a single point. So it’s not just about being right in a confidence pool, but also how sure you are about the outcome.

If the team you pick wins the game, you receive the corresponding confidence points which you assigned to that game. And the most points after January 1 is the winner!

Here’s how our college football staff and writers have ranked each game in our own bowl confidence pool for the 2023 CFB postseason.

The entrants

Collin Sherwin: Deputy Sports Editor, College
Nick Simon: Staff Writer
Teddy Ricketson: Staff Writer
Chinmay Vaidya: Deputy Sports Editor, NBA
Chris Landers: Deputy Sports Editor, Baseball

2023 College Football Bowl Confidence Pool

Date Game Teams Collin Pick Collin Confidence Nick Pick Nick Confidence Teddy Pick Teddy Confidence Chinmay Pick Chinmay Confidence Chris Pick Chris Confidence
Date Game Teams Collin Pick Collin Confidence Nick Pick Nick Confidence Teddy Pick Teddy Confidence Chinmay Pick Chinmay Confidence Chris Pick Chris Confidence
Dec 16 R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl Jacksonville State vs. Louisiana Jax St 3 Jax State 34 Jax St. 15 Louisiana 5 Jacksonville State 14
Dec 16 Radiance Technologies Independence Bowl Texas Tech vs. Cal TTU 11 Cal 7 Texas Tech 19 Texas Tech 4 California 4
Dec 16 LA Bowl hosted by Gronk Boise State vs. UCLA Boise 16 Boise State 30 UCLA 5 UCLA 24 Boise State 12
Dec 16 Myrtle Beach Bowl Georgia Southern vs. Ohio Ohio 17 GA Southern 13 GA Southern 40 Ohio 3 Georgia Southern 25
Dec 16 Isleta New Mexico Bowl New Mexico State vs. Fresno State NMSU 20 NMSU 14 NMSU 2 Fresno St. 2 New Mexico State 31
Dec 16 Avocados From Mexico Cure Bowl App State vs. Miami-Ohio App State 33 Miami-OH 11 App St 35 App State 1 App State 28
Dec 18 Famous Toastery Bowl Western Kentucky vs. Old Dominion WKU 5 WKU 26 ODU 18 WKU 6 Old Dominion 22
Dec 19 Scooter's Coffee Frisco Bowl Marshall vs. UTSA UTSA 37 UTSA 32 Marshall 4 UTSA 7 UTSA 40
Dec 21 RoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl South Florida vs. Syracuse USF 10 USF 16 USF 17 Syracuse 32 Syracuse 7
Dec 22 Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl UCF vs. Georgia Tech Ga Tech 1 UCF 38 UCF 16 UCF 8 Georgia Tech 1
Dec 23 Camellia Bowl Arkansas State vs. Northern Illinois NIU 2 Arky State 17 NIU 3 NIU 10 Arkansas State 30
Dec 23 Famous Idaho Potato Bowl Utah State vs. Georgia State GSU 7 Utah State 24 GA St. 29 Utah State 13 Utah State 19
Dec 23 EasyPost Hawai'i Bowl Coastal Carolina vs. San Jose State SJSU 29 SJSU 4 Coastal 13 Coastal 12 San Jose State 33
Dec 23 Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl James Madison vs. Air Force JMU 30 Air Force 29 JMU 28 JMU 38 Air Force 5
Dec 23 Birmingham Bowl Duke vs. Troy Troy 34 Duke 27 Duke 26 Duke 22 Troy 34
Dec 23 68 Ventures Bowl South Alabama vs. Eastern Michigan USA 35 USA 15 South Alabama 1 S. Alabama 9 South Alabama 35
Dec 23 SRS Distribution Las Vegas Bowl Northwestern vs. Utah Utah 36 Northwestern 8 Utah 41 Utah 23 Utah 26
Dec 26 Quick Lane Bowl Bowling Green vs. Minnesota Minnesota 12 Minnesota 28 Minnesota 11 Minnesota 21 Minnesota 13
Dec 26 SERVPRO First Responder Bowl Texas State vs. Rice Texas State 28 Texas State 35 Rice 12 Rice 14 Texas State 24
Dec 26 Guaranteed Rate Bowl UNLV vs. Kansas Kansas 38 UNLV 5 Kansas 25 UNLV 11 Kansas 36
Dec 27 Military Bowl Virginia Tech vs. Tulane Va Tech 13 Va Tech 39 Tulane 33 Tulane 16 Virginia Tech 21
Dec 27 Duke's Mayo Bowl North Carolina vs. West Virginia WVU 14 WVU 23 North Carolina 22 WVU 27 West Virginia 17
Dec 27 TaxAct Texas Bowl Oklahoma State vs. Texas A&M OKSU 15 OSU 12 Oklahoma St. 24 Texas A&M 26 Oklahoma State 15
Dec 27 DIRECTV Holiday Bowl Louisville vs. USC Louisville 30 Louisville 33 Louisville 23 Louisville 25 Louisville 27
Dec 28 Bad Boy Mowers Pinstripe Bowl Miami vs. Rutgers Rutgers 4 Miami 22 Miami 9 Miami 17 Rutgers 9
Dec 28 Valero Alamo Bowl Arizona vs. Oklahoma Arizona 6 Arizona 31 Oklahoma 37 Arizona 39 Arizona 3
Dec 28 Pop-Tarts Bowl NC State vs. Kansas State K-State 27 K-State 18 NC State 27 NC State 29 Kansas State 2
Dec 28 Wasabi Fenway Bowl Boston College vs. SMU SMU 39 SMU 9 SMU 10 SMU 28 SMU 37
Dec 29 TaxSlayer Gator Bowl Clemson vs. Kentucky Kentucky 9 Clemson 36 Clemson 36 Kentucky 30 Kentucky 6
Dec 29 AutoZone Liberty Bowl Iowa State vs. Memphis ISU 19 Memphis 21 Iowa St. 8 Iowa St. 18 Iowa State 23
Dec 29 Goodyear Cotton Bowl Missouri vs. Ohio State OSU 32 Missouri 30 Ohio State 32 Mizzou 41 Missouri 18
Dec 29 Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl Notre Dame vs. Oregon State Oregon State 8 Notre Dame 18 Oregon State 31 Oregon State 19 Notre Dame 11
Dec 30 Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl Ole Miss vs. Penn State Penn State 21 Penn State 2 Penn State 20 Ole Miss 31 Ole Miss 10
Dec 30 TransPerfect Music City Bowl Auburn vs. Maryland Auburn 22 Maryland 37 Maryland 21 Maryland 20 Auburn 20
Dec 30 Barstool Sports Arizona Bowl Toledo vs. Wyoming Wyoming 23 Wyoming 19 Wyoming 6 Wyoming 15 Wyoming 29
Dec 30 Capital One Orange Bowl Florida State vs. Georgia Georgia 31 Georgia 40 Georgia 34 Georgia 40 Georgia 38
Jan 1 Allstate Sugar Bowl Texas vs. Washington Texas 18 Texas 20 Texas 14 Washington 34 Washington 8
Jan 1 ReliaQuest Bowl LSU vs. Wisconsin LSU 24 LSU 25 LSU 30 LSU 35 LSU 32
Jan 1 Rose Bowl Game Alabama vs. Michigan Alabama 25 Michigan 1 Michigan 7 Michigan 36 Alabama 16
Jan 1 Cheez-It Citrus Bowl Iowa vs. Tennessee Tennessee 40 Iowa 3 Tennessee 39 Tennessee 37 Tennessee 4
Jan 1 Vrbo Fiesta Bowl Liberty vs. Oregon Oregon 41 Oregon 41 Oregon 38 Oregon 33 Oregon 39