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Champions League 2023-24 knockout round qualification scenarios for every group

Here’s all the knockout qualification scenarios as Champions League group play heads into the final matches.

Paris Saint-Germain v FC Nantes - Ligue 1 Uber Eats
Kylian Mbappe of Paris Saint Germain reacts during the Ligue 1 Uber Eats match between Paris Saint-Germain and FC Nantes at Parc des Princes on December 9, 2023 in Paris, France.
Photo by Antonio Borga/Eurasia Sport Images/Getty Images

Champions League group stage play heads into the final matches beginning Tuesday, with plenty of qualification spots in the knockout round up for grabs across all eight groups. Here’s a look at where things stand heading into Matchday 6 and what teams need to do to qualify for the round of 16. As a reminder, the top two teams in each group will advance to the knockout round. The tiebreaker rules for teams tied on points can be found here.

Group A

Qualified: Bayern Munich, Copenhagen
Eliminated: Galatasaray, Manchester United

Update: Copenhagen defeated Galatasary, sending the Danish side into the round of 16. Man United are out.

Bayern Munich will play Manchester United in the final match, while FC Copenhagen will meet with Galatasaray. Man United have four points and need a win to have any hope of qualifying, while Bayern have already secured the top spot in the group. If Man United win, they can only advance if Copenhagen and Galatasaray draw.

The winner of the Copenhagen-Galatasaray match will advance to the knockout round. If the two sides draw, Copenhagen will advance as long as Man United draw or lose to Bayern due to superior goal differential.

Group B

Qualified: Arsenal, PSV Eindhoven
Eliminated: Sevilla, Lens

Update: PSV secures a spot in the round of 16 with a draw against Arsenal.

If PSV Eindhoven win or draw against Arsenal, they will advance to the knockout round. The Gunners have already secured the top spot in the group. Lens need a win over Sevilla to have a chance at qualification.

If Lens win and PSV Eindhoven lose, it’ll come down to head-to-head points where PSV owns the tiebreaker thanks to a 1-0 win. The sides drew in the other match, which means PSV has 4 points to Lens’ 1.

Group C

Qualified: Real Madrid, Napoli
Eliminated: Union Berlin, SC Braga

Update: Napoli defeat SC Braga to secure a spot in the knockout round.

Napoli and SC Braga face each other in the final match. Napoli can advance with a win or draw for sure. They would also advance if they lose 1-0. If Braga win by two goals, or score more than two goals in a win, they would advance due to superior head-to-head goals scored. Napoli defeated Braga 2-1 in the first match between the two teams.

Group D

Qualified: Inter Milan, Real Sociedad
Eliminated: RB Salzburg, Benfica

Inter Milan and Real Sociedad are fighting for the top spot in the group. A win for either side secures the top spot, while a draw would mean Sociedad gets the top spot due to overall goal differential.

Group E

Qualified: Atletico Madrid, Lazio
Eliminated: Feyenoord, Celtic

Atleti and Lazio play for the top spot in the group in the final match. Atletico Madrid will be top of the group with a win or draw, while Lazio need a win to go to the top of the group.

Group F

Qualified: Borussia Dortmund, PSG
Eliminated: AC Milan, Newcastle

Update: PSG drew, while AC Milan beat Newcastle. That sent the French side into the round of 16 due to the head-to-head tiebreaker.

The “Group of Death” has successfully lived up to the billing heading into Matchday 6. Dortmund have qualified for the knockout round but still might not be at the top of the group. If they win or draw against PSG, they’ll remain at the top of the table. If PSG win, the French side will move to the top of the table. AC Milan and Newcastle will be eliminated.

PSG can advance with a draw if AC Milan and Newcastle draw, or Milan win. PSG has the head-to-head goal differential tiebreaker over AC Milan. AC Milan can only advance with a win over Newcastle and a PSG loss to Dortmund. Newcastle must win to have a shot at advancing, but they can get in over PSG if the French side draw due to a superior head-to-head point total. Newcastle took 4 points in group games against PSG.

Group G

Qualified: Manchester City, RB Leipzig
Eliminated: Young Boys, Crvena Zvezda

Nothing complicated here, as Man City have the top spot in the group and RB Leipzig are locked into second place.

Group H

Qualified: Barcelona, FC Porto
Eliminated: Antwerp FC, Shakhtar Donetsk

Update: FC Porto got the win over Shakhtar Donetsk, securing the Portuguese side’s spot in the round of 16.

Barcelona can secure the top spot in the group with a win or draw. They would also secure the top spot if they lose and Porto defeat Shakhtar Donetsk. Porto can advance to the knockout round with a win or draw over Shahktar Donetsk but they cannot take the top spot in the group. Shakhtar Donetsk can only advance to the round of 16 with a win. They’d need to make up a seven-goal difference with Barcelona to secure the top spot in the group, assuming Barcelona do lose to Antwerp FC.