Missouri vs. Georgia picks, best bets for Week 10 matchup

The Tigers and Bulldogs will meet this afternoon in a game that could decide the SEC East title. Georgia enters as a big favorite for homecoming.

By Nick Simon@Nick_JSimon Nov 4, 2023, 3:55am PDT

The de-facto SEC East title game will take place in Athens this afternoon as the No. 12 Missouri Tigers hit the road to battle the No. 2 Georgia Bulldogs. This division showdown will kickoff at 3:30 p.m. ET and air on CBS.

Missouri (7-1, 3-1 SEC) is coming off its bye and is looking to pull off a huge upset that will propel it to the top of the SEC East standings. The Tigers were last seen whipping South Carolina in a 34-12 victory on October 21, a game where running back Cody Schrader broke off 159 yards and two touchdowns. Mizzou is seeking its first victory over UGA in a decade.

Georgia (8-0, 5-0 SEC) went down to Jacksonville and rolled rival Florida in a 43-20 rout last Saturday. The offense rolled even without the services of Brock Bowers as wide receiver Ladd McConkey went off with six receptions for 135 yards and a touchdown. The Dawgs were never in any real danger in this matchup as they entered the fourth quarter holding a 36-7 lead.

SP+ Rankings

Missouri: 20 overall, 20 offense, 27 defense
Georgia: 2 overall, 6 offense, 5 defense

Injury update

Missouri

LB Chad Bailey - Questionable (Undisclosed)
WR Demariyon Houston - Questionable (Undisclosed)

Georgia

RB Roderick Robinson II - Out (Ankle)
LB EJ Lightsey - Out (Back)
TE Brock Bowers - Out (Ankle)

ATS/Total

Against The Spread in 2023

Missouri: 5-3 ATS
Georgia: 2-5-1 ATS

Total in 2023

Missouri: Over 6-2
Georgia: Over 5-3

Team Pace

Missouri: 2.24 plays per minute of offense
Georgia: 2.13 plays per minute of offense

Odds at DraftKings Sportsbook

Spread: Georgia -15.5
Total: 55.5
Moneyline: Georgia -700, Missouri +500

Opening line: Georgia -15
Opening total: 55.5

Weather

72 degrees, sunny, 5 MPH winds WNW

Our Best Bet for Missouri vs. Georgia

Georgia -15.5

This is the point in the season where you’d expect Georgia to fully rev up the machine for the postseason and we saw the two-time defending national champs barely break a sweat when burying Florida last Saturday. Even with Mizzou bringing a talented offense to Athens, I expect the Dawgs to have little issue putting the Tigers down this afternoon. Take UGA to cover and roll for homecoming.