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Pac-12 Championship Game Preview: Washington vs. Oregon

We make a pick for the Pac-12 Championship, and a spot in the College Football Playoff.

Oregon State v Oregon Photo by Brandon Sloter/Image Of Sport/Getty Images

The No. 5 Oregon Ducks take on the No. 3 Washington Huskies in the Pac-12 Championship on Friday, December 1. Oregon enters as a 9.5-point favorite, with the total set at 66.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00 p.m. ET, and the game will air on ABC.

Here’s everything you need to know and a pick for the game.

Oregon (11-1, 8-1 Pac-12)

FPI 3. SP+ 4 overall, 1 offense, 14 defense

The Ducks get a second shot at Washington here after the Huskies handed them their only loss of the season in a 36-33 finish. Oregon has only looked better since the loss, dominating opponent after opponent. Quarterback Bo Nix is a favorite to win the Heisman this season with 37 passing touchdowns and just two interceptions on his resume in 2023. The Ducks boast one of the best offenses — if not the best offense — in college football right now.

In the Ducks’ most recent win, they defeated Oregon State, 31-7. Wide receivers Tez Johnson and Troy Franklin each recorded over 100 receiving yards. Running back Bucky Irving was kept to just 41 rushing yards, but has put together four games this season with 100 rushing yards. He will be a key piece in this Washington matchup. The 31-point finish marked their lowest-scoring game this season — the Ducks rank third in the nation with an average of 42 points per game.

To win this game against Washington, the Ducks defense will need to limit opposing QB Michael Penix Jr. as much as possible. Penix had four passing touchdowns when the two last met, but if they can increase their pressure in the backfield as well as their secondary coverage, Oregon has a good shot at evening things out here.

Washington (12-0, 9-0 Pac-12)

FPI 13. SP+ 11 overall, 5 offense, 42 defense

The Huskies are one of very few undefeated teams that remain heading into conference championship weekend. They have a win over Oregon already this season and a Heisman hopeful of their own in quarterback Michael Penix. The Huskies barely held on to beat Washington State last week, winning 24-21 on a walk-off field goal. Penix was visibly shaken up after the game, despite the positive outcome.

The Huskies had a close call two weeks ago in Corvallis, as well, and beat Utah the week before that by just one score. Is the pressure of the perfect season beginning to seep through the cracks? Penix made some questionable and nearly-intercepted passes toward the end of the Washington State win, which can’t happen in a matchup this big.

Washington also boasts one of the best offenses in college football, falling at ninth in the nation with 38 points per game on average. Receiver Rome Odunze is the star of the show alongside Penix, and has over 1,300 receiving yards and 13 touchdowns so far this season. Oregon will need to find a way to limit his explosive plays in this matchup.

Odds at DraftKings Sportsbook

Spread: Oregon -9.5
Total: 65.5
Moneyline: Oregon -345, Washington +275

Weather

Allegiant Stadium is indoors. Weather is not a factor.

Don’t forget before you bet

  • Oregon is 9-2-1 against the spread this year, while Washington falls at 5-6-1 ATS
  • Oregon ranks 10th in points allowed to opponents per game, while Washington ranks 40th
  • The winner of this game will likely head to the College Football Playoff, and the loser will be out of contention

Best bets for Pac-12 Championship Game

Oregon -9.5

Washington has been very, very close to falling apart at the seams over the last few weeks, and this game is going to be the one that breaks them. It is very hard to beat a team twice in one season, and even harder to beat a team that has done nothing but improve since the last time you played. I see Oregon pulling away in the second half for a dominant win in Las Vegas. The Ducks cover here.