The Golden State Warriors (8-9) will pay a visit to the Sacramento Kings (9-6) on the final day of the group stage in the NBA In-Season Tournament. The Kings currently lead West Group C with a 3-0 record, while the Warriors are in third place at 2-1 as they still have a chance to top the group with a win over their cross-town rivals.
Keegan Murray (back) is listed as doubtful for the Kings ahead of the contest, while the Warriors don’t list anyone of note on their injury report. Draymond Green is returning from his five-game suspension.
The Kings are 1.5-point favorites, priced at -125 to get the win at home while the Warriors are at +105. The point total is set at 236 at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Warriors vs. Kings, 10 p.m. ET
Pick ATS: Warriors +1.5
It’s coming down to the wire for Steve Kerr’s side, who absolutely need a win along with some help from the Thunder-Timberwolves matchup as well. The Kings sit in first place at 3-0 with a +29 point differential, while the Warriors are only at +5 at the moment. The differential won’t come into play between these two teams specifically, as the first tiebreaker is head-to-head in the group stage, so the Dubs would finish ahead of the Kings regardless if they come out with a win.
Of course, the Warriors will also be hoping for a Thunder victory over the Timberwolves tonight. Golden State dropped a 104-101 result against Minnesota in their group stage game, meaning if the Timberwolves get a win over Oklahoma City tonight and the Warriors come out on top of the Kings, we’ll see a three-way tie that will invoke the point differential tiebreaker. A Timberwolves loss combined with a Warriors win would see the Dubs finish on top of the Group C table and advance to the quarterfinal round.
The Warriors have won both meetings against the Kings this season, logging a 122-114 win on October 27 followed by a narrow 102-101 win just a few days later. Green is returning from suspension which could boost Golden State’s defense, while the Kings potentially missing Murray would only hurt their defense, which is already ranked 21st in the league.
It may be a very tight game, but take the Dubs to get the win and cover tonight at Golden 1 Center.
Over/Under: Over 236
The Warriors have finished over the total in four of their last five outings as their offense has been playing extremely well, especially with Stephen Curry on an incredibly hot start to the season. The Kings’ last outing finished over the total as well, and with both teams in desperate need of a win to continue in this tournament, I’m expecting this one to go to the over also.