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Who’s improving, who’s falling in Super Bowl 58 odds after Week 12

Week 12 is wrapping up. We break down what it all means for Super Bowl 58 odds.

Green Bay Packers v Detroit Lions Photo by Lauren Leigh Bacho/Getty Images

As Week 12 wraps up, we take a look at how each team’s performance and results affected their Super Bowl odds.

Who had the best Week 12 performance?

The Falcons had a significant win this week over the Saints that propelled them to the top of the top of the NFC South, and the Jaguars put together a key win over the Texans to solidify their spot atop the AFC South. The Broncos’ victory over the Browns marked their fifth win in a row this season, and Denver now sits just outside the bubble in the playoff picture.

However, the Dolphins and Cowboys had the best wins of the week. They both played weaker teams in the Jets and the Commanders, respectively, but put together dominant offensive performances as they continue their march toward the postseason.

Which favorites have work to do?

The Chiefs and Eagles each grabbed a win in Week 12, but there may be some work to do on the way to the top. Last year’s Super Bowl participants are tied as the favorites to win this season’s championship, but the Eagles struggled to pull out an overtime win over the .500 Bills this week, while the Chiefs have just not looked up to par with their usual standard this season. They beat the Raiders 31-17 this week, but did not pull away until the fourth quarter.

The Lions fell to the Packers this week in an unexpected home loss. Detroit still has two games against the Vikings and one against the Cowboys on their schedule this season, and will need to win these kinds of matchups to give themselves more wiggle room in their more challenging games.

Which teams with upset wins could be legit Super Bowl contenders?

There weren’t any teams that pulled off upset wins this week that are in the potential Super Bowl contender category, but the closest we can get is the Broncos. Denver entered the game as a one-point home favorite and blew out Cleveland this week, 29-12. The Broncos have now won five games in a row and have a playoff berth, if not a Super Bowl berth, within reach if they can keep this momentum going.

Here’s a full list of Super Bowl 58 odds heading into Week 12, and how they compare with the opening numbers, Week 1, and last week. All odds are courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.

Super Bowl odds 2023-24

Team Feb 12 Week 1 Week 18 Wild Card
Team Feb 12 Week 1 Week 18 Wild Card
San Francisco 49ers +750 +1000 +220 +220
Baltimore Ravens +2200 +1800 +300 +310
Buffalo Bills +700 +900 +800 +650
Dallas Cowboys +1400 +1400 +850 +750
Kansas City Chiefs +600 +600 +950 +1000
Philadelphia Eagles +900 +650 +1100 +1600
Miami Dolphins +3000 +2500 +1300 +1600
Detroit Lions +3000 +2200 +2000 +1800
Cleveland Browns +4000 +3500 +3500 +3500
Houston Texans +20000 +20000 +8000 +4000
Los Angeles Rams +3500 +10000 +6000 +4500
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +6000 +10000 +12000 +6000
Green Bay Packers +3000 +6500 +18000 +9000
Pittsburgh Steelers +5500 +5000 +25000 +12000
Jacksonville Jaguars +2800 +3000 +3500 OTB
Indianapolis Colts +15000 +15000 +10000 OTB
Seattle Seahawks +7000 +3000 +12000 OTB
New Orleans Saints +5000 +3000 +20000 OTB
Atlanta Falcons +7500 +6000 +50000 OTB
Minnesota Vikings +4500 +3500 +80000 OTB
Cincinnati Bengals +900 +1100 OTB OTB
Denver Broncos +3000 +4500 OTB OTB
Chicago Bears +8000 +5000 OTB OTB
Las Vegas Raiders +4000 +8000 OTB OTB
New York Giants +4000 +6500 OTB OTB
Los Angeles Chargers +2200 +2500 OTB OTB
New York Jets +2800 +1600 OTB OTB
Washington Commanders +7000 +6500 OTB OTB
Tennessee Titans +7500 +8000 OTB OTB
Arizona Cardinals +20000 +40000 OTB OTB
Carolina Panthers +5500 +8000 OTB OTB
New England Patriots +6000 +6500 OTB OTB