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Early projections for 2023 College Football Playoff after Week 13, end of regular season

With the regular season over, we project the top four for the College Football Playoff coming out of Week 13.

Ohio State v Michigan Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images

The 2023 college football regular season has wrapped and it went out with a bang with a wild rivalry week. We sit just a week away from finding out the four teams that will be represented in the College Football Playoff and the race is coming down to the wire as we turn our attention towards conference championship weekend.

Here are our projections for the College Football Playoff following Week 13:

  1. Georgia Bulldogs
  2. Michigan Wolverines
  3. Washington Huskies
  4. Florida State Seminoles
  5. Oregon Ducks
  6. Texas Longhorns
  7. Ohio State Buckeyes
  8. Alabama Crimson Tide

Arguably the most consequential result of the entire season took place on Saturday, with Michigan toppling rival Ohio State in a 30-24 thriller. Michigan officially clinched a spot in next Saturday’s Big Ten Championship Game against Iowa and is in the driver’s seat to make it’s third straight playoff appearance. Even with the win, we have the Wolverines slotted at No. 2 behind Georgia, who completed another undefeated regular season by dispatching of Georgia Tech.

Occupying the third and fourth slots are Washington and Florida State, both undefeated teams who will also play in their respective league championship games next Saturday. The Huskies survived an upset scare from Washington State in the Apple Cup while the Jordan Travis-less Seminoles needed a fourth-quarter boost to power their way past rival Florida. Shaky performances from both teams in the final week of the regular season, but they can guarantee themselves a spot in the dance by winning their league title games.

The two teams on the outside looking in are Oregon and Texas, both of whom have one loss but will be playing in their respective conference championship games next weekend. Oregon will face Washington in the Pac-12 title game and that should serve as a de-facto play-in game for the CFP. Meanwhile, Texas will get Oklahoma State in the Big 12 title game and will most likely need some help if it wants to sneak into the playoff field.

Below them are Ohio State and Alabama, two one-loss teams who probably need chaos to sneak into the playoff field. The Crimson Tide needed an improbable Hail Mary throw from Jalen Milroe to avoid an embarrassing upset loss to Auburn in the Iron Bowl and will now head to Atlanta for a date with Georgia in the SEC title game. Meanwhile, the Buckeyes are the only team in our top eight that will be sitting at home next weekend and has most likely been eliminated from playoff contention.