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Alabama vs. Auburn picks, best bets for Iron Bowl

The Crimson Tide and Tigers meet in Week 13. Alabama enters as a road favorite.

Chattanooga v Alabama Photo by Brandon Sumrall/Getty Images

The No. 8 Alabama Crimson Tide take on the Auburn Tigers in the Iron Bowl in Week 13. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 25 from Jordan-Hare Stadium. Alabama has already punched their ticket to the SEC Championship Game, but with one loss on their resume this year, they can’t afford to slip up now as they look to keep their College Football Playoff hopes alive.

Alabama (10-1, 7-0 SEC) had a shaky start to the season, but the Tide have turned things around and are looking much more like themselves. Their latest game was a 66-10 win over Chattanooga, but let’s go back two games to their 49-21 victory over Kentucky. In that win, quarterback Jalen Milroe passed for three touchdowns and rushed for another three. The dual-threat QB has come into his own as the season has gone on, and will hard to stop. The Tide’s only loss this season came against Texas in Week 2.

Auburn (6-5, 3-4 SEC) was on a three-game winning streak in the SEC before they got whooped at home by New Mexico State, 31-10, in Week 12. Quarterback Payton Thorne passed for 148 yards and one touchdown in the loss, and led the team in rushing yards with 38 on the ground. Did the Tigers get caught looking ahead to the Tide this week? It seems likely. They kept both Georgia and Ole Miss within one score this season.

Here’s everything you need to know and a pick for the game.

SP+ Rankings

Alabama: 7 overall, 13 offense, 6 defense
Auburn: 38 overall, 64 offense, 25 defense

Injury update

Alabama

WR Ja’Corey Brooks - Questionable (shoulder)
DB Jaylen Key - Questionable (thigh)
LB Deontae Lawson - Questionable (foot)

Auburn

QB Payton Thorne - Questionable (foot)

ATS/Total

Against The Spread in 2023

Alabama: 8-3 ATS
Auburn: 5-6 ATS

Total in 2023

Alabama: Over 8-2-1
Auburn: Over 4-6-1

Odds at DraftKings Sportsbook

Spread: Alabama -13.5
Total: 47.5
Moneyline: Alabama -535, Auburn +400

Weather

67 degrees, partly sunny, 6 MPH winds E

Our Best Bet for Alabama vs. Auburn

Auburn +13.5

Yes, I know Auburn lost to New Mexico State last week. I also know that this is the Iron Bowl, and it’s at Auburn, and nothing ever quite goes as planned in this game. Auburn has hung around with several high-ranked opponents this season, and this is arguably their biggest game of the year. I like the Tigers to cover here.