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David Benavidez vs. Demetrius Andrade: Picks and predictions for super middleweight fight

We make some picks and predictions for Saturday’s super middleweight bout between David Benavidez and Demetrius Andrade.

Boxing: Benavidez vs Plant Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports

The WBC interim super middleweight title will be on the line when champion David Benavidez (27-0, 23 KOs) takes on top contender Demetrius Andrade (32-0, 19 KOs) from the Michelob Ultra Light Arena on the Mandalay Bay Hotel & Casino in Las Vegas, Nevada. This will be the final broadcast for Showtime PPV boxing. The main card will begin at 8 p.m. ET with the main event expected to start around 11:30 p.m. ET.

The cost for this event is $74.99. In the co-main event it will be former WBC middleweight champion Jermall Charlo making his return to the ring after a two-year layoff to take on Jose Benavidez Jr. in a non-title bout.

Fight Odds

Benavidez is a -380 betting favorite at DraftKings Sportsbook. Andrade is the underdog at +275 odds.

David Benavidez-Demetrius Andrade super middleweight bout prediction

It’s rare that two undefeated fighrers, one reaching his prime, and the other at the end of his prime, are willing to face each other. Both Benavidez and Andrade are hoping that a win Saturday can get them a shot at Canelo Alvarez. For what it’s worth, Alvarez has long said he’ll never fight Andrade because he doesn’t like the 35-year-old’s style and hasn’t shown in interest in fighting Benavidez.

As for this fight it’s a clash of two different styles. Benavidez likes to overwhelm and steamroll his opponents with power and volume. The 26-year-old is going to be the bigger fighter with Andrade coming up to his weight. If he decides early that Andrade can’t hurt him, Benavidez will be willing to take two in order to land two and hope that his harder punchers will wear Andrade down.

Meanwhile Andrade is one of the craftiest boxers in the game and tough to get around. He’s a southpaw and slick with his movement and the timing of his punches. Andrade can win rounds on points and build up an early lead forcing Benavidez to take chances and get a little careless. Whereas Benavidez is going to be looking to land hard shots, Andrade is about controlling the environment and ring generalship. If his path to winning is death by a million paper cuts, Andrade has the patience to execute that game plan.

There’s also something to be said for desperation. At 35 this is Andrade’s last best chance to get into the limelight. He HAS to win in order to get any more big fights. He’s been the most avoided middleweight in boxing and is finally getting the opportunity from a young rising star that everyone has pegged as the next big thing.

It’s unfortunate that this fight is on PPV and isn’t likely to draw huge buyrate numbers because it’s arguably the second-best fight on the boxing calendar this year behind Terence Crawford and Errol Spence Jr.

Expect a close fight and possibly some swing rounds that could go either way and lead to a little controversy. When in doubt, always take the younger, bigger, stronger guy.

Prediction: Benavidez by majoirty decision, 115-113, 116-112 & 114-114.