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AJ Dillon start or sit: Week 12 fantasy football advice

We break down the fantasy football outlook of AJ Dillon ahead of the Packers Week 12 matchup against the Lions.

AJ Dillon of the Green Bay Packers runs with the ball while being tackled by Khalil Mack of the Los Angeles Chargers in the first quarter at Lambeau Field on November 19, 2023 in Green Bay, Wisconsin. Photo by Patrick McDermott/Getty Images

While AJ Dillon has been a bit of a fantasy afterthought this year, the 25-year-old could be in line for a big role in the Packers Thanksgiving Day game against the Lions. Here’s a look if that means he should be in your starting lineup this week.

Fantasy Football analysis: Packers RB AJ Dillon

Although Dillon only had 29 yards last week against the Chargers, that total came on 12 carries, which is the highest number of carries he’s had in a game since the end of October. With Aaron Jones doubtful with a knee injury, Dillon appears to be RB1 this week

Start or sit in Week 12 PPR leagues?

Sit. While the Packers will be without Jones (their No. 1 back) and Emanuel Wilson (their No. 3 back), I still think Dillon should stay on your bench. He’s scored one touchdown this season, only has 16 receptions, and is averaging just 3.5 yards a carry. And he’s also dealing with a groin injury. The Lions have the fifth-best run defense in the NFL (89.5 yards per game), which I’m thinking will lead to them trying to make things happen through the air. The only reason he should be in your starting lineup is if you’re in a deep 10- to 12-person league with not a lot of depth.

Start or sit in Week 12 standard leagues?

Sit. The same logic applies. Dillon’s banged up and going against a tough defense, which should lead to a low-scoring outing in standard formats.

Player(s) you would start ahead of AJ Dillon

FantasyPros has Dillon ranked as RB29 where he’s between Gus Edwards and De’Von Achane. I’d start both of them over Dillon, though I’d pick up a backup option for Achane.