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The Australian Open tennis tournament is underway, and the time for upsets is upon us. Given the volume of players involved in the tournament, we’re never going to have a completely chalk finish with high seeds winning every match.
We might see the No. 1 overall seed win the whole thing, but we’ll see plenty of unseeded and lower seed upsets along the way. And it’s also worth noting that No. 1 seed Rafael Nadal won’t necessarily be the favorite in every match he plays this tournament. Nadal entered the tournament with +1700 odds to win it, which was tied for fifth best. Novak Djokovic entered as a -110 favorite, followed by Daniil Medvedev (+550), Stefanos Tsitsipas (+1400), Nick Kyrgios (+1600), and Taylor Fritz (+1700). Seeding does not always correspond to betting odds.
The men’s tournament got underway on Sunday, January 15 and will wrap up on Sunday, January 29 with the men’s final. We’re focusing on seeded upsets rather than any unseeded vs. unseeded upsets given the difficulty with sorting through the unseeded players.
Quarterfinals
No upsets
Fourth round
No. 29 Sebastian Korda won 3-6, 6-3, 6-2, 1-6, 7-6 over No. 10 Hubert Hurkacz
Jiri Lehecka won 4-6, 6-3, 7-6, 7-6 over No. 6 Felix Auger-Aliassime
Tommy Paul won 6-2, 4-6, 6-2, 7-5 over No. 24 Roberto Bautista Agut
Third round
Jiri Lehecka won 6-7, 6-3, 3-6, 6-1, 6-4 over No. 11 Cameron Norrie
No. 18 Karen Khachanov won 6-3, 6-4, 3-6, 7-6 over No. 16 Frances Tiafoe
No. 29 Sebastian Korda won 7-6, 6-3, 7-6 over No. 7 Daniil Medvedev
Second round
Mackenzie McDonald won 6-4, 6-4, 7-5 over No. 1 Rafael Nadal
Tallon Griekspoor won 6-4, 6-4, 6-4 over No. 32 Botic Van De Zandschulp
Tommy Paul won 6-2, 2-6, 6-7, 6-3, 6-4 over No. 30 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Jenson Brooksby won 6-3, 7-5, 6-7, 6-2 over No. 2 Casper Ruud
J.J. Wolf won 6-1, 6-4, 6-4 over No. 23 Diego Schwartzman
Alexei Popyrin won 6-7, 7-6, 6-4, 6-7, 6-2 over No. 8 Taylor Fritz
Michael Mmoh won 6-7, 6-4, 6-3, 6-2 over No. 12 Alexander Zverev
Benjamin Bonzi won 4-6, 4-6, 7-6, 6-1, 7-6 over No. 14 Pablo Carreno Busta
First round
Jiri Lehecka won 6-3, 6-3, 6-3 over No. 21 Borna Coric
Lloyd Harris won 6-4, 6-1, 6-7, 2-6, 7-6 over No. 17 Lorenzo Musetti
Nicolas Jarry won 6-3, 6-4, 7-6 over No. 26 Miomir Kecmanovic
Andy Murray won 6-3, 6-3, 4-6, 6-7, 7-6 over No. 13 Matteo Berettini