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Florida State vs. LSU picks and best bets for Week 1

Florida State and LSU meet at the Caesars Superdome for the formal kickoff of the Brian Kelly era in Baton Rouge.

Syndication: Tallahassee Democrat Alicia Devine/Tallahassee Democrat / USA TODAY NETWORK

Florida State tries to right the ship after two losing seasons under head coach Mike Norvell against the LSU Tigers and their new headman and fake-Southern-accent aficionado, Brian Kelly. The matchup kicks off Sunday at 7:30 p.m. ET on ABC.

Let’s dive into all the data you need as well as a pick for the game.

SP+ Rankings

Florida State: No. 42 overall, No. 47 offense, No. 39 defense
LSU: No. 70 overall, No. 70 offense, No. 63 defense

Injury update

Florida State

CB Omarion Cooper - questionable
OL Maurice Smith - questionable
OL Darius Washington - questionable
WR Johnny Wilson - questionable


RB John Emery Jr. - OUT (suspension)


Against The Spread

Florida State: 0-0 ATS
LSU: 0-0 ATS


Florida State: Over 0-0
LSU: Over 0-0

Returning/Overall Talent from 247Sports

Florida State: No. 19 overall
LSU: No. 5 overall

Current lines at DraftKings Sportsbook

Spread: LSU -3
Total: 49.5
Moneyline: LSU -155, Florida State +135

Opening line: LSU -3
Opening total: 51.5


Not applicable (domed stadium)

The Pick: Florida State (+135)

Brian Kelly has a stellar track record as a head coach at multiple programs. However, that doesn’t mean he will automatically turn around LSU. The offense will essentially feature a new starter regardless of whether Kelly picks Garrett Nussmeier or transfer Jayden Daniels while Florida State returns a capable starter who looks to take a leap this season. The Tigers have some personnel advantages and the de facto home crowd, but the Noles have some continuity advantages that can level the playing field.

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