The New York Mets look to continue their dominance of the Washington Nationals on Saturday. The Mets are 11-3 in the season series and will send former Nationals starter Max Scherzer to the mound.
Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets (-425, 7.5)
Scherzer’s 0.7 home runs per nine innings allowed is tied for his career-best mark, but he enters having allowed at least four runs in two of his last three starts. In two matchups against his former team, has allowed three runs in each.
The Nationals have gotten a win from a starting pitcher in just two of their last 47 games. One who’s struggled immensely has been Patrick Corbin, who’s 17 losses lead the league. He enters having allowed at least three runs allowed in nine of his last 10 road starts.
Overall this season, Corbin has a 6.56 ERA with 1.7 home runs per nine innings, which are worse on the road. He has an 8.83 road ERA, and opponents are hitting .379 off of him away from DC — the latter being worst mark among pitchers that have thrown over 100 innings this season.
The Nationals have allowed at least five runs in five of their last seven games, and the team backs up Corbin with the 21st rated MLB bullpen in ERA.
With the Nationals having had success against Scherzer and Corbin having a historically bad season, the Big Apple will produce a big score on Saturday.
The Play: Nationals vs. Mets Over 7.5
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