Breaking down cut line for the 2022 FedEx St. Jude Championship

7:17 p.m. ET: We’re calling it, the cut will be -2. Right now there’s 70 players on that number or better, with 11 of them exactly at -2.

Both Scottie Scheffler and Keegan Bradley will miss this weekend, as they failed to bring home a birdie down the stretch and finished at -1

6:50 p.m. ET: The latest guy to finish a stroke short is Kurt Kitayama, who also is done at -1. Remarkably it is nine players at -2, and 69 at that score or better still with about 28 golfers left to finish their rounds. It’s not looking great for the 12 players at -1, a group that includes Rory McIlroy (F), Keegan Bradley (on 18), and Scottie Scheffler (on 17) as of now.

6:00 p.m. ET: The consistency of the cut line today almost surreal considering what we saw last week. 70 players are on the number, with nine of them on -1 precisely.

Matthew NeSmith is the latest bubble boy at -1 in the clubhouse, and he’ll need some bogeys from the field coming in to survive until Saturday.

4:55 p.m. ET: It’s looking not as great for the -1 category, as we’re still at 69 players at that score, with 11 of them on it exactly.

Keegan Bradley, Cameron Young, and Jhonattan Vegas are all on the course on -1 themselves, and Scottie Scheffler is in trouble at +1 as he plays the 11th hole.

4:15 p.m. ET: 69 players remain at -2 or better, including 12 precisely on that number. And that means it’s likely Scottie Scheffler is going to need to make at least one more birdie if the No. 1 player in the FedEx Cup standings is going to survive until the weekend. He sits at -1 thru seven holes so far on Friday.

With his current massive points lead of 1220 on Cameron Smith, there’s no way Scheffler could drop below fifth in the standings before the TOUR Championship. In fact he could very well be the overall leader even if he was cut both this week and next at the BMW Championship.

But the difference between first place and fifth place is a massive five strokes in the handicap event at East Lake. The FedEx Points leader starts at -10, while the fifth place player begins with a -5 score. Every point counts, because every stroke counts in two weeks at East Lake.

3:25 p.m ET: As we follow along the cut, you can also keep an eye on how players are doing in the live FedEx Cup Playoffs points race at this link here. We’re tracking players as they’re eliminated from contention, as well as how they’re doing in the chase to reach the Top 70 and the BMW Championship next week in Wilmington, Delaware.

68 players currently at -2 or better, and 11 on the number.

3:00 p.m. ET: The clubhouse players at -1’s have to be feeling a bit better, which now includes Rory McIlroy, as 68 players are -2 or better and eight of them are exactly on the number.

This is going to be a very close cut that will likely go down to the last couple groups. And with quadruple FedEx points on the line and the chance to play the BMW Championship next weekend for an additional $15 million prize money, even those not in contention for the TOUR Championship will be sweating.

2:05 p.m. ET: -2 looks a bit stronger now, as 71 players have that score or better, including 11 exactly on that number. About 48 players are yet to complete their first hole however, so there’s still plenty of time for movement.

But if -2 holds, that means Tom Hoge and Billy Horschel would each come up one stroke short as their both finished with their day at -1 overall.

1:05 p.m. ET: The cut line remains at -2 as of now, with 66 players at that number or better, including 11 exactly on the bubble score.

It does mean that just like last week at the regular season-ending Wyndham Championship, the line could move from -2 to -1 and bring a bunch more of the field into play if course conditions get more difficult. The line should be one of those numbers it appears.

Update, 12:10 p.m. ET — The projected cut line now -2 with most golfers set to tee off for Round 2 within the hour. Grillo and McCarthy are dueling it out at the top of the leaderboard at -9. Collin Morikawa is making a run on Day 2 at 4-under through 11 holes in his round.

The PGA TOUR tees off the second round of the 2022 FedEx St. Jude Championship on Friday. In the morning, we’ve got a few golfers grouped up at the top, including Sahith Theegala, Si Woo Kim and J.J. Spaun. All three are tied at -8 with Theegala in action and the other two set to tee off later in the afternoon Friday. Emiliano Grillo and Denny McCarthy are also toward the top of the leaderboard early in Round 2.

How is the cut line determined?

The cut line at 36 holes is the top 65 players plus those tied at the end of that group.

What is the projected cut line for the St. Jude Championship as of now?

As of 10:30 a.m. ET, the cut line for the FedEx St. Jude Championship is -1. If the tournament were to end right now, Jordan Spieth, Webb Simpson, Will Zalatoris and Scottie Scheffler would miss the cut. Most of those big names have yet to tee off for their round, so we’ll see how the cut line progresses and how they all perform.

Who is not projected to make the cut?

Stewart Cink did manage to squeak into the Playoff without needing a money-winners exemption for next season, but he’ll be heading home after today with a +7 after 11 holes today.

Harold Varner III is +4 with just two holes left, and his FedEx is over as well.