You have waited for this day. You know which teams are vulnerable and which are ready to rise during the NCAA Tournament. Injuries, trends, data — you’ve got all the information you need in order to make the most profitable bets during March Madness.
And then that No. 2 seed you bet on that’s favored by 14 gives up a 3-pointer of the buzzer to win by 12. That basket may have been meaningless to the winning team, but it was damn sure significant to you!
Bad beats are a fact of life during March Madness. We’ll be tracking them throughout the three weekends of the NCAA Tournament. Best wishes and we hope you can avoid as many of these as possible.
Duke 78 (-18.5), Cal State Fullerton 61
There’s not a lot of point in playing defense with 3.5 seconds remaining in a game that’s well in hand, but Duke allowing a walk-in dunk made a lot of difference for the wagering community. That last deuce switched the cover from the Blue Devils to the Titans. Just one last gift from Mike Krzyzewski to those fading his team.
Texas 34 (-1), Virginia Tech 32 1H
If you had Virginia Tech in the first half, we feel your pain out here in Las Vegas. Texas just banged a 3-pointer from behind half court to win the first half and cover on a 1-point first-half spread.
Gonzaga 93 (-22.5), Georgia State 72
This is actually justice because the Zags only led 35-33 at halftime, and it took a dominant run after the under 12 timeout to put the game in the bag. But an over-the-back foul on Gonzaga’s Martynas Arlauskas with 26 seconds left put GSU’s Evan Johnson on the line for a one-and-one. Johnson’s made both free throws to move the margin of victory from 23 to 21 .. which truly matters when the spread closed at 22.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Gotta love sports betting. I’m happy for Ga State backers. They deserved that cover— Tim Murray (@1TimMurray) March 17, 2022
Arkansas 75 (-5), Vermont 71
Some awful officiating down the stretch made this worse, but Vermont was attempting to foul with about four seconds left but couldn’t make enough contact with anyone holding the ball to even get a stop after the last rebound. While Arkansas for sure could have made a few more free throws down the stretch, it never should have come down to it if the stripes called a travel and a foul on a drive that were literally right in front of them in the last minute.
Murray State 92 (-2), San Francisco 87 (OT)
Just your standard OT non cover for the +2 USF Dons, who finished regulation on a 10-0 run to force the extra session. Not great for those that bet on USF and certainly felt worthy of at least a push down the stretch.
Wisconsin 67 (-8), Colgate 60
The only thing that matches the buzzer-beater for sheer excitement in the NCAA Tournament is the meaningless last second bucket of a team heading home for the offseason. Johnny Davis hit two free throws with 12 seconds left to give Wisconsin a nine-point lead. The game was a wrap, but after nearly losing the ball while driving to the basket, Colgate’s Nelly Cummings scored on a bunny shot down low. Wisconsin was looking to avoid any fouls, and so Badgers backers suffered a brutal beat.
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