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The World Cup will add two teams from Group E by the close of business on Thursday afternoon, and it’s still a fairly wide open group. Germany is the only side that can’t win the group, but they still have a shot at claiming second place.
Germany will face Costa Rica on FS1 while Spain will play Japan on FOX, with kickoff set for both matches at 2 p.m. ET. Goal differential could get interesting between Germany and Japan in the event of a tie in the standings, but Spain and Costa Rica are likely fairly settled in their point differentials.
That being said, Germany could be in a position where they need to run up the score on Costa Rica. If Germany wins their match and Japan and Spain play to a draw, Germany could move past Japan with a mere two-goal victory. If Japan were to upset Spain, Germany would need upwards of a seven-goal victory over Costa Rica to be able to match Spain in the goal differential tiebreaker.
We’ll update the standings as scores happen and the clinching scenarios resolve themselves. The bolded teams are the teams who will advance to the round of 16.
88th minute projected standings
Germany added another goal to take a 4-2 lead, but they need at least five more to force the tiebreaker edge with Spain.
- Japan, 2-0-1, 6 points, +1 GD, 4 GF, 3 GA
- Spain, 1-1-1, 4 points, +6 GD, 9 GF, 3 GA
- Germany, 1-1-1, 4 point, +1 GD, 6 GF, 5 GA
- Costa Rica, 1-0-2, 4 points, -7 GD, 3 GF, 10 GA
85th minute projected standings
Germany has retaken the lead against Costa Rica on another Kai Havertz goal. They are trailing Spain in the goal differential tiebreaker.
- Japan, 2-0-1, 6 points, +1 GD, 4 GF, 3 GA
- Spain, 1-1-1, 4 points, +6 GD, 9 GF, 3 GA
- Germany, 1-1-1, 4 point, 0 GD, 5 GF, 5 GA
- Costa Rica, 1-0-2, 4 points, -7 GD, 3 GF, 10 GA
73rd minute projected standings
Germany has knotted it up with Costa Rica on a Kai Havertz goal. This drops Costa Rica back out of the top two spots and moves Spain back in.
- Japan, 2-0-1, 6 points, +1 GD, 4 GF, 3 GA
- Spain, 1-1-1, 4 points, +6 GD, 9 GF, 3 GA
- Costa Rica, 1-1-1, 4 points, -6 GD, 3 GF, 9 GA
- Germany, 0-2-1, 2 point, -1 GD, 4 GF, 5 GA
70th minute projected standings
Juan Pablo Vargas put one in to give Costa Rica a 2-1 lead. This moves Costa Rica into second place and bumps Spain out of the knockout stage if this holds up.
- Japan, 2-0-1, 6 points, +1 GD, 4 GF, 3 GA
- Costa Rica, 2-0-1, 6 points, -5 GD, 3 GF, 8 GA
- Spain, 1-1-1, 4 points, +6 GD, 9 GF, 3 GA
- Germany, 0-1-2, 1 point, -2 GD, 3 GF, 5 GA
58th minute projected standings
Serge Gnabry drilled in a goal on a rebound and Costa Rica has equalized with Germany. If Costa Rica can take the lead, they’ll be in position to advance ahead of Spain.
- Japan, 2-0-1, 6 points, +1 GD, 4 GF, 3 GA
- Spain, 1-1-1, 4 points, +6 GD, 9 GF, 3 GA
- Costa Rica, 1-1-1, 4 points, -6 GD, 2 GF, 8 GA
- Germany, 0-2-1, 2 point, -1 GD, 3 GF, 4 GA
51st minute projected standings
Japan has stunned Spain as Ao Tanaka drilled in another in quick order. They now lead 2-1 and Spain is in a tie with Germany. Spain easily leads in the goal differential tiebreaker.
- Japan, 2-0-1, 6 points, +1 GD, 4 GF, 3 GA
- Spain, 1-1-1, 4 points, +6 GD, 9 GF, 3 GA
- Germany, 1-1-1, 4 point, 0 GD, 3 GF, 3 GA
- Costa Rica, 1-0-2, 3 points, -7 GD, 1 GF, 8 GA
48th minute projected standings
Ritsu Doan drilled in a goal to open the second half and tied up Japan’s match with Spain. Japan had another goal but it was called back due to offsides. Germany and Japan are now tied at four points and tied in goal differential, so it moves on to H2H and Japan claims that tiebreaker.
- Spain, 2-1-0, 5 points, +7 GD, 9 GF, 2 GA
- Japan, 1-0-2, 4 points, 0 GD, 3 GF, 3 GA
- Germany, 1-1-1, 4 point, 0 GD, 3 GF, 3 GA
- Costa Rica, 1-0-2, 3 points, -7 GD, 1 GF, 8 GA
Halftime projected standings
The scores remain 1-0 in both matches halfway through the action.
- Spain, 2-1-0, 7 points, +8 GD, 9 GF, 1 GA
- Germany, 1-1-1, 4 point, 0 GD, 3 GF, 3 GA
- Japan, 1-0-2, 3 points, 0 GD, 2 GF, 3 GA
- Costa Rica, 1-0-2, 3 points, -7 GD, 1 GF, 8 GA
12th minute projected standings
Spain and Germany both got on the board early, taking 1-0 leads against Japan and Costa Rica, respectively. Germany is now projected to reach the knockout round in second place.
- Spain, 2-1-0, 7 points, +8 GD, 9 GF, 1 GA
- Germany, 1-1-1, 4 point, 0 GD, 3 GF, 3 GA
- Japan, 1-0-2, 3 points, 0 GD, 2 GF, 3 GA
- Costa Rica, 1-0-2, 3 points, -7 GD, 1 GF, 8 GA
Pre-match standings
- Spain, 1-1-0, 4 points, +7 GD, 8 GF, 1 GA
- Japan, 1-0-1, 3 points, 0 GD, 2 GF, 2 GA
- Costa Rica, 1-0-1, 3 points, -6 GD, 1 GF, 7 GA
- Germany, 0-1-1, 1 point, -1 GD, 2 GF, 3 GA