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How the NFL playoff picture looks coming out of Week 11

The NFL is wrapping up Week 11, and a few teams are standing out in the playoff picture heading into Week 12.

Buffalo Bills wide receiver Stefan Diggs (14) celebrates with offense lineman Rodger Saffold (76) after catching a touchdown pass from quarterback Josh Allen (17) (not pictured) in the second quarter at Ford Field. Lon Horwedel-USA TODAY Sports

The 2022 NFL regular season is moving through Week 11 and we’re slowly moving closer to clearing up the playoff picture for the 2023 NFL Playoffs. We’re two months away from the playoffs, but a few teams are rapidly approaching clinching scenarios. We won’t see any clinching for at least a couple more weeks, but you can see below who is in good shape and who has a lot of work to do.

The 1 p.m. window is wrapping up and the favorites are mostly handling their business with a notable exception. The Eagles came back to beat the Colts, scoring a touchdown in the final minute and holding off a last minute Colts drive to secure a 17-16 win. This comes with the Giants losing an ugly one to the Lions and dropping two full games back in the NFC East.

In the AFC, the Bills handled their business on a neutral field, beating the Browns in Detroit to improve to 7-3 and tie the Dolphins in the AFC East. The Dolphins and Jets have both beaten Buffalo, so the Bills have some work to do to improve their position in the tiebreakers. Meanwhile, the Patriots shocked the Jets in the closing seconds, running back a punt with five seconds left in the game to secure a 10-3 win. We’ve got two teams tied for first in the AFC West and two tied for third.

4 p.m. window update

We got a stunner in the late window as the Cowboys crushed the Vikings in Minneapolis. A Dallas win wasn’t a surprise, but how much they dominated Minnesota was. The Vikings tied it 3-3 in the first quarter and that was as close as the game ever was. Minnesota is in control of the NFC North, but this is a tough loss in their bid for the best record in the NFC.

The Bengals got a key road win as they beat the Steelers 37-30. It was close for the first three quarters but Cincinnati pulled away late and remains a game back of the Ravens in the AFC North.

Sunday Night Football update

The NFL wrapped up the Week 11 Sunday slate with a wild finish in the Chiefs-Chargers. The Chargers looked like they were going to get a key home win to cut KC’s division lead to one game. Instead, Patrick Mahomes drove the Chiefs down the field and found Travis Kelce for a game-winning touchdown with 31 seconds left. They’ve locked down the head-to-head tiebreaker with the Chargers and maintain a one-game lead on the Dolphins, Titans, Ravens, and Bills in the race for the No. 1 seed.

Monday Night Football update

The 49ers closed out Week 11 with an impressive win over the Cardinals in Mexico City. Jimmy Garoppolo matched his career-high with four touchdown passes and the 49ers are back in first place in the NFC West. They are tied with the Seahawks but have a head-to-head win to give them the edge heading into Week 12.

Here’s a look at what the playoff picture looks like heading into the 4 p.m. window of games as the NFL moves through Week 11.

AFC playoff picture

1. Kansas City Chiefs, 8-2
2. Miami Dolphins, 7-3
3. Tennessee Titans, 7-3
4. Baltimore Ravens, 7-3

5. Buffalo Bills, 7-3
6. New England Patriots, 6-4
7. Cincinnati Bengals, 6-4

8. New York Jets, 6-4
9. Los Angeles Chargers, 5-5
10. Indianapolis Colts, 4-6-1
11. Jacksonville Jaguars, 3-7
12. Las Vegas Raiders, 3-7
13. Cleveland Browns, 3-7
14. Denver Broncos, 3-7
15. Pittsburgh Steelers, 3-7
16. Houston Texans, 1-8-1

NFC playoff picture

1. Philadelphia Eagles, 9-1
2. Minnesota Vikings, 8-2
3. San Francisco 49ers, 6-4
4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 5-5

5. Dallas Cowboys, 7-3
6. New York Giants 7-3
7. Seattle Seahawks, 6-4

8. Washington Commanders, 6-5
9. Atlanta Falcons 5-6
10. Detroit Lions, 4-6
11. Green Bay Packers, 4-7
12. Arizona Cardinals, 4-7
13. New Orleans Saints, 4-7
14. Los Angeles Rams, 3-7
15. Carolina Panthers, 3-8
16. Chicago Bears, 3-8