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Georgia Senate race odds to win, latest polling between Raphael Warnock, Herschel Walker

We take a look at the latest betting prices between incumbent Democrat Raphael Warnock and Republican challenger Herschel Walker.

By Collin Sherwin Updated

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Herschel Walker speaks during the SEC Legends panel featuring Walker and Archie Manning and Steve Spurrier discussing 150 years of college football with the media at the Hyatt Regency-Birmingham. Vasha Hunt-USA TODAY Sports

One of the more tightly-watched Senate races during the 2022 midterm election is in Georgia, where a razor-thin majority in a January runoff made Raphael Warnock the first black pastor to be a member of the world’s most deliberative body.

But how are bettors seeing his matchup with former Georgia and NFL running back Herschel Walker?

Through Election Day on November 8, we’ll use three websites to track how betting on the election is going:

PredictIt is a site where Americans can wager on the outcomes of political events, with an exemption from the US Government as the data is used for academic research.

PolyMarket is an “information markets platform” that allows traders to use the Polygon blockchain to make bets on the outcome of events.

BetFair is a market-based site where traders can buy and sell at odds, but is not available to customers in the United States.

The first two sites offer futures contracts that expire at $1.00 for the winner, which can be traded at any price until their final value is met. BetFair uses odds just as American sportsbooks do when taking action on the results of games.

Odds to win Georgia Senate race

Nov. 7

PredictIt D: Warnock: .40
PredictIt R: Walker: .64

PolyMarket D: Warnock: .39
PolyMarket R: Walker: .61

BetFair D: Warnock: +120
BetFair R: Walker: -175

Nov. 2

PredictIt D: Warnock: .45
PredictIt R: Walker: .60

PolyMarket D: Warnock: .43
PolyMarket R: Walker: .57

BetFair D: Warnock: +125
BetFair R: Walker: -189

Nov. 1

PredictIt D: Warnock: .46 ⬆️ .06 since last week
PredictIt R: Walker: .59 ⬇️ .03 since last week

PolyMarket D: Warnock: .45 ⬆️ .05 since last week
PolyMarket R: Walker: .55 ⬇️ .05 since last week

BetFair D: Warnock: +100
BetFair R: Walker: -149

Oct. 28

PredictIt D: Warnock: .40 ⬇️ .10 since yesterday
PredictIt R: Walker: .62 ⬆️ .10 since yesterday

PolyMarket D: Warnock: .40 ⬇️ .08 since yesterday
PolyMarket R: Walker: .60 ⬆️ .08 since yesterday

BetFair D: Warnock: +100
BetFair R: Walker: -149

Oct. 27

PredictIt D: Warnock: .50 ⬇️ .02 since yesterday
PredictIt R: Walker: .52 ⬆️ .04 since yesterday

PolyMarket D: Warnock: .48 ⬇️ .02 since yesterday
PolyMarket R: Walker: .52 ⬆️ .02 since yesterday

BetFair D: Warnock: -150
BetFair R: Walker: +100

Oct. 26

PredictIt D: Warnock: .52
PredictIt R: Walker: .52

PolyMarket D: Warnock: .50
PolyMarket R: Walker: .50

BetFair D: Warnock: -150
BetFair R: Walker: +100

Oct. 24

PredictIt D: Warnock: .53
PredictIt R: Walker: .51

PolyMarket D: Warnock: .45
PolyMarket R: Walker: .55

BetFair D: Warnock: -150
BetFair R: Walker: +100

Latest polling from FiveThirtyEight.com

November 2

FiveThirtyEight gives Herschel Walker a 55 in 100 chance of winning this race based on an aggregation of weighted polling data, which is a shift from Raphael Warnock having a 53% chance of winning as of yesterday.

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