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No. 4 Michigan vs. Iowa picks and best bets for Week 5 Big Ten matchup

The Wolverines and Hawkeyes meet in a Big Ten battle.

Roman Wilson #14 of the Michigan Wolverines celebrates his fourth quarter touchdown with Ronnie Bell #8 while playing the Maryland Terrapins at Michigan Stadium on September 24, 2022 in Ann Arbor, Michigan. Michigan won the game 34-27. Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images

The No. 4 Michigan Wolverines will look to avoid a sneaky upset from the Iowa Hawkeyes on Saturday as they take on one of the best defenses in the NCAA. The good news for Michigan is that Iowa’s offense has struggled to find any sort of rhythm this season, though they are coming off their highest score yet after a 27-10 win against Rutgers last weekend.

The game kicks off in Iowa City at noon ET on Saturday, Oct. 1. Here’s all the data you’ll want, and a pick for the game!

SP+ Rankings

Michigan: No. 4 overall, No. 6 offense, No. 11 defense
Iowa: No. 27 overall, No. 101 offense, No. 1 defense

Injury update


RB Donovan Edwards - Doubtful (leg)

QB Cade McNamara - Out (lower body)

TE Erick All - Questionable (Undisclosed)


WR Keagan Johnson - Out (Hamstring)


Against The Spread

Michigan: 2-2 ATS
Iowa: 2-2 ATS


Michigan: Over 1-3
Iowa: Over 1-3

Returning/Overall Talent from 247Sports

Michigan: No. 15 overall, No. 15 offense, No. 15 defense
Iowa: No. 62 overall, No. 68 offense, No. 49 defense

Current lines at DraftKings Sportsbook

Spread: Michigan -11
Total: 42.5
Moneyline: Michigan -410, Iowa +330

Opening line: Michigan -10
Opening total: 43.5


66 degrees, 6 MPH wind, 0% chance of rain

The Pick

Under 42.5

If there’s one thing Iowa football does, it’s hit the under. Their top-rated defense is their best hope against Michigan, and after the Wolverines’ struggles against Maryland last week, the Hawkeyes will have some weaknesses to pinpoint after watching film. Iowa’s offense is Iowa’s offense, so I don’t exactly expect them to run up the score. Punt-fest, here we come.

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