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How Klay Thompson’s return impacts Stephen Curry’s MVP odds

We take a look at Stephen Curry’s MVP odds on DraftKings Sportsbook with Thompson returning to the court.

Stephen Curry #30 of the Golden State Warriors reacts after being fouled by Luka Doncic #77 of the Dallas Mavericks in the third quarter at American Airlines Center on January 05, 2022 in Dallas, Texas.  Photo by Tom Pennington/Getty Images

The Golden State Warriors will welcome back Klay Thompson Sunday against the Cleveland Cavaliers, The All-Star shooting guard has not seen the floor since Game 6 of the 2019 NBA Finals, but represents a huge part of Golden State’s championship puzzle. His Splash Brother Stephen Curry is the favorite to win MVP per DraftKings Sportsbook, so how does Thompson’s return affect Curry’s chase?

There isn’t much data for the current season but if we go back to 2018-19, Curry and Thompson was Golden State’s best 2-man lineup combination aside from Curry and Kevin Durant. Per, Curry and Thompson were netting 13.6 points per 100 possessions when playing together. If we go back to Curry’s MVP campaign in 2015-16, the two-man combination of him and Thompson were netting Golden State 19.5 points per 100 possessions. Curry and Draymond Green were +19.6 points per 100 possessions that season.

In short, Thompson’s presence isn’t going to impact Curry’s chase much. If anything, it’ll actually help the point guard see more favorable defensive looks because now opponents have to account for another marksman. This of course assumes Thompson resembles his former self, which is no guarantee.

Curry is currently +120 to win MVP per DraftKings Sportsbook. He entered the season at +800. Thompson’s presence won’t move Curry from the lead spot, even if his odds do go down slightly.

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