clock menu more-arrow no yes mobile

Filed under:

Why A.J. Brown will go over on receiving yards and TD props for 2021 NFL season

After two stellar seasons, Titans wideout A.J. Brown can cement his status as one of the NFL’s elite playmakers in 2021.

NFL: AFC Wild Card Round-Baltimore Ravens at Tennessee Titans Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODAY Sports

One of the most promising young playmakers in the NFL, A.J. Brown has established himself as a dominant wideout during his first two seasons. The Tennessee Titans star can expect to garner even more attention in 2021 with Julio Jones arriving to form arguably the best receiver tandem in the league.

Here, we take a look at the prop bets on the table for Brown on DraftKings Sportsbook ahead of the 2021 NFL season and make our picks.

A.J. Brown player props in 2021 NFL draft

1175.5 receiving yards: Over (-120) or Under (-105)

Our pick: Over

The arrival of Jones has generated some concern about Brown’s target share. However, most of Jones’ work will come from the targets vacated by Corey Davis, the Titans’ No. 2 wideout last season who signed with the New York Jets in March. And while Jones remains a dynamic player, Brown will serve as the primary option in the passing game. Given that Brown went over 1,000 yards in each of his first two seasons and only just turned 24, 2021 should see him crush his previous career mark in receptions and passing yards.

8.5 receiving touchdowns: Over (+100) or Under (-130)

Our pick: Over

As a rookie in 2019, Brown averaged a half a receiving touchdown per game (8.5 total extrapolated over a 17-game schedule). He recorded his first double-digit touchdown season in 2020 despite missing two games. If Brown plays more or less a full season, he seems a strong bet to go over 8.5 receiving scores. And Jones doesn’t appear much of a threat to vulture those opportunities, as he has only once recorded more than eight touchdowns himself.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (IL).Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ/WV/PA/MI), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 (NH/CO), 1-800-BETS OFF (IA), 1-888-532-3500 (VA) or call/text TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (TN).21+ (18+ NH). CO/IL/IN/IA/NH/NJ/PA/TN/VA/WV/MI only. Eligibility restrictions apply. See draftkings.com/sportsbook for full terms and conditions.