J.K. Dobbins led the Baltimore Ravens backfield in fantasy points in his rookie season last year. He ended up have a handful more touches than Gus Edwards, but his efficiency in yards per carry and touchdowns pushed him significantly ahead of him in fantasy. The Ravens aren’t going to give a single back 300 carries anytime soon, but Dobbins has proven he deserves the lead role and is the most efficient back on the team.
To commemorate the 2021 NFL season, we’ll be counting down the 75 best fantasy football players in the league. Picking a Top 75 is subjective, especially when you are projecting a whole season of accumulated fantasy points, but that’s part of the fun. We’ll assume what I see as an average league, which is 12 teams, .5 PPR scoring and a roster of 1QB, 2RB, 3WR, 1TE, & 1RB/WR/TE. Kickers and defenses need not apply.
Change is the nature of the NFL beast, so trades and injuries will likely impact this list as we go along, but hey, this isn’t rocket science. We’re here to have a little fun and build up some much needed anticipation for a league cast in the shadow by baseball, soccer, hockey, etc. Sarcasm aside, the NFL is addictive and we’re here to give your daily fix as we close in on the season.
The official fantasy football drafting tiers can be found here.
No. 34, J.K. Dobbins, Baltimore Ravens, RB
The hope in the fantasy football community was for Dobbins to take over the lead work in Baltimore early and take off with the job, but Edwards was too productive. The good news is that the Ravens love running the ball, Mark Ingram is gone, and Dobbins is more versatile than Edwards.
Competition for touches
There is plenty of competition for rushing attempts in Baltimore, as quarterback Lamar Jackson rushed the most out of all the Ravens last season and Edwards was second and Dobbins was third. Dobbins was more proficient as a receiver, touchdown scorer and rushed for six-yards per carry compared to Edwards’ five-yards per carry. There’s no doubt they will share work, but Dobbins has a ton of upside in his second season.
Team offensive expectations
The Ravens dipped in offensive production last season but were still in the Top 11 according to Football Outsiders. If they can avoid missing games due to COVID-19 this year, I would expect an uptick in overall production.
What’s his upside?
Dobbins has a ton of upside as the lead back and lead running back receiver in Baltimore. The offense is primed for rushing productivity, as Jackson keeps defenses in limbo. Dobbins; six-yards per carry and nine touchdowns on 134 rushing attempts last season is proof enough. Get him 200 attempts and 40 receptions in this offense and he;s going to be a huge fantasy producer.
What’s his downside?
Gus Edwards and Lamar Jackson aren’t going anywhere. They will continue to take away potential touches from Dobbins. If Dobbins is relegated to just a third of a three person committee, it will be tough for him to reach his upside.
190 attempts, 950 yards, 9 touchdowns — 40 receptions, 320 yards, 3 touchdowns