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Why Derek Carr will go over on passing yards, under on TD prop bets for 2021 NFL season

We take a look at the odds on the table for Raiders QB Derek Carr available on DraftKings Sportsbook and make our predictions ahead of the 2021 NFL season.

Miami Dolphins v Las Vegas Raiders Photo by Harry How/Getty Images

The Las Vegas Raiders have not won a playoff game since their run to the Super Bowl in 2002, and the division is going to keep getting better with the quality of quarterbacks in the AFC West. Derek Carr is a fine quarterback at the NFL level and is coming off a very good season, but it did not result in too many victories.

Here, we’ll take a look at the prop bets on the table for Las Vegas Raiders quarterback Derek Carr on DraftKings Sportsbook ahead of the 2021 NFL season and make our picks.

4,050.5 passing yards (Over -115, Under -115)

Our pick: Over

Derek Carr has been among the most durable quarterbacks in the NFL, and he has missed just two regular season games in his seven-year career in the pros. He threw for more than 4,000 yards in each of the last three years, and that should continue especially with the addition of another regular season game. Carr had a sneaky fantastic year statistically in 2020, and he should be able to reach this yardage number by the end of the season.

25.5 passing TDs (Over -115, Under -115)

Our pick: Under

Carr had gone three seasons of never throwing more than 22 touchdowns before 2020 when he tossed 27 touchdown passes. Josh Jacobs rushed for 19 touchdowns in the last two seasons, and the Raiders likely overpaid for free agent running back Kenyan Drake, and he scored 18 times in the past two seasons. The Raiders could go heavy in the running game in the red zone with a decent backfield, which will limit Carr’s touchdown pass total.

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