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Why Daniel Jones will go under on passing yards, rushing yards, TD prop bets for 2021 NFL season

We take a look at the odds on the table for Giants QB Daniel Jones available on DraftKings Sportsbook and make our predictions ahead of the 2021 NFL season.

Syndication: The Record Danielle Parhizkaran/ via Imagn Content Services, LLC

The New York Giants had a rough go of it last season, finishing the year with a 6-10 record and an underwhelming performance from QB Daniel Jones.

Still, Jones is young and has shown promise from time to time. He’s hoping to get back on track in 2021 and here, we’ll take a look at the prop bets on the table for the New York Giants QB on DraftKings Sportsbook ahead of the 2021 NFL season and make our picks.

3,800.5 passing yards (Over -115, Under -115)

Our pick: Under

Analysis: Jones hasn’t thrown for over 3,100 yards in a season on his young career, let alone 3,800. He’s never started a full 16 game slate though, but betting on an NFL QB to not miss a single game during a season is a bold move, to put it lightly.

Still, there’s reason for optimism. NY vastly improved its corps of pass-catchers this season, getting Kenny Golladay from the Lions and selected Kadarius Toney from Florida in the first round of the NFL Draft. But jumping 800 yards still seems like a steep ask.

24 passing TDs (Over -115, Under -115)

Our pick: Under

Analysis: Through 14 games played last year, Jones only threw for 11 touchdowns. Sure, the offense is revamped a bit, but an increase of 13 touchdowns in just one year seems like a big expectation for the third-year signal-caller. He did toss 24 in his rookie year, but most of those came early on in the season. Once defenses understood how to attack him, his production dipped.

400.5 rushing yards (Over -115, Under -115)

Our pick: Under

Analysis: Surprisingly, Jones actually hit this number last season, finishing the year with 423 yards and one touchdown. Though nearly 20% of that season total came on one 80-yard scamper against the helpless Philidelphia Eagles defense. It would have been more too, if the turf monster didn’t get him on his way to the endzone.

While he has speed, he’s not going to run anybody over or make many defenders miss. Outside of a couple of blown defensive assignments, it’s highly unlikely he tops 400 yards on the ground again.

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