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How the public is betting 2021 Home Run Derby for winner, most home runs, more

Here’s how bettors think the Home Run Derby will play out this year.

Boston Red Sox v Los Angeles Angels
Shohei Ohtani of the Los Angeles Angels rounds the bases after hitting a solo home run against the Boston Red Sox during the fifth inning at Angel Stadium of Anaheim on July 07, 2021 in Anaheim, California.
Photo by Michael Owens/Getty Images

Los Angeles Angels phenom Shohei Ohtani headlines the 2021 Home Run Derby, but Texas Rangers slugger Joey Gallo and New York Mets star Pete Alonso are expected to provide a serious challenge to the MLB home run leader.

Here’s how the public sees the Derby playing out courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.

2021 Home Run Derby overall betting splits

To win

Shohei Ohtani (+300): 47% handle, 33% bets
Joey Gallo (+450): 22% handle, 23% bets
Pete Alonso (+550): 11% handle, 14% bets
Trevor Story (+800): 7% handle, 10% bets
Juan Soto (+750): 6% handle, 8% bets
Matt Olson (+650): 4% handle, 7% bets
Trey Mancini (+1000): 2% handle, 5% bets
Salvador Perez (+800): 1% handle, 2% bets

Most Home Runs

Shohei Ohtani (+500): 69%, 47%
Joey Gallo (+800): 22%, 30%
Matt Olson (+875): 3%, 7%
Pete Alonso (+400): 2%, 6%
Trevor Story (+500): 2%, 4%
Juan Soto (+450): 1%, 4%
Salvador Perez (+800): 1%, 1%
Trey Mancini (+750): <1%, 1%

Longest Home Run

Shohei Ohtani (+450): 58%, 47%
Joey Gallo (+240): 15%, 16%
Juan Soto (+1000): 7%, 10%
Matt Olson (+825): 6%, 6%
Pete Alonso (+475): 6%, 10%
Trevor Story (+650): 3%, 5%
Salvador Perez (+1100): 3%, 5%
Trey Mancini (+900): 1%, 2%

The public expects Monday’s Derby to be a showcase event for Ohtani. He’s getting an overwhelming percentage of the handle in each category, especially in the category for most home runs. The number of wagers on Ohtani is slightly less overwhelming, but the Angels star still carries most of those.

Bettors don’t think he’ll have much trouble, but there is enough action on Gallo and Alonso to win the Derby with 23 percent and 14 percent respectively. Gallo is also getting 30 percent of wagers to hit the most home runs as a clear second-favorite. We’ll see if either contender can upset Ohtani and make bettors who went against the grain some money.

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