With the 2020 Euro tournament finally getting underway a year later in 2021, this year’s Group of Death is no joke (it never is) as Portugal (2016 Euro champions), France (2018 World Cup champions), and Germany will battle for the top two spots — and the only two guaranteed berths into the knockout round from Group F. Sorry Hungary, but it doesn’t look like you have much of a shot this year. How poetic would it be if they ended up on top of the group after all three of their games are played, though?
It looks like some people are hoping that will happen as they take a big chance on Hungary anyway. With their odds at +850, they currently only have 9% of bets, but an impressive 37% of handle — the second-highest in the group. After all, it would only take an upset or two — a draw against France and maybe a win against Germany or Portugal could put a second-place finish in their sights. It’s unlikely that will happen though, and if these splits were based on picking a Group F winner, I imagine Hungary’s handle wouldn’t be anywhere near that high as the public would focus more on both France and Germany.
Although Portugal’s odds have amassed them the most bets and handle for a top two finish given that France are the clear favorites to win the whole tournament, it’s not a much of a surprise as they won the last iteration of the Euros after taking down the French side 1-0 in extra time. It won’t be a cakewalk for any of these teams, though, as all three of the heavy-hitters boast some stacked squads. Of course, Cristiano Ronaldo headlines the Portuguese side as they seek their second-straight European title, but he’s surrounded by plenty of other veteran stars with the likes of Bernardo Silva, Joao Cancelo, and Bruno Fernandes. France will bring stars like Kylian Mbappe, Antoine Griezmann, and N’golo Kante to the table while Germany will hope guys like Timo Werner, Joshua Kimmich, and Leroy Sane will help lead them to glory.
The public seems to have had a tougher time picking between France and Germany as the other favorite to advance out of the group as they both have a fairly equal shot at grabbing a spot. Really it’s up in the air between all three teams, and no matter how you look at it, there is a modest chance at least one world powerhouse from Group F heads home when the group stage comes to an end.
Betting splits, top 2 finish
Portugal (-165): 48% handle, 55% bets
Hungary (+850): 37% handle, 9% bets
France (-250): 8% handle, 23% bets
Germany (-200): 6% handle, 14% bets
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