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Breaking down NFC South 2021 win totals with predictions for each team

DraftKings Sportsbook has released the odds for each NFL team’s win totals. We break down the NFC South and offer predictions for how each team will perform against the number.

NFL: Super Bowl LV-Kansas City Chiefs vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

The Super Bowl winner came out of the NFC South in 2020, but the Tom Brady-led Tampa Bay Buccaneers did not finish first in the division last year. It was the New Orleans Saints for the fourth consecutive season. There is a bit of uncertainty for at least two teams at the quarterback position, so this division could go in a variety of different ways. Below is a look at the projected season win totals for the NFC South on DraftKings Sportsbook.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Win total: 11.5

The Super Bowl champs finished 11-5 in the regular season last year for second place in the division. One of Brady’s biggest strengths throughout his career has been to motivate his team to success even after winning it all the season before. However, we’ve seen it plenty of times in his career where Brady’s teams look good during the regular season but really turn it on come playoff time. I’m not going to be the millionth person to predict the demise of Brady over the last decade, but too much can happen over the course of a season to justify predicting Tampa Bay to reach 12 regular season wins.

Pick: Under 11.5 (+103)

New Orleans Saints, Win total: 9

One of the strangest items to look forward to in the 2021 NFL season is the New Orleans Saints without Drew Brees under center. With his retirement, the Saints are left with Jameis Winston and Taysom Hill as the quarterback options. Hill is the jack-of-all trades of jack-of-all trades but has never been the No. 1 guy. The last time Winston was a full-time starter, he threw 30 interceptions and the year after he left, his former team won the Super Bowl. The Saints played incredible defense last season, and they will need to keep that pace or be even better to reach this win total.

Pick: Under 9 (-110)

Carolina Panthers, Win total: 7.5

The Carolina Panthers finished 5-11 last season without their main offensive weapon Christian McCaffrey, who appeared in just three games in 2020. He will be back to help improve an offense that finished about average last season. Teddy Bridgewater appears to be the starter heading into the season after an okay season last year. Carolina could definitely try and grab a quarterback with their first round pick, so it will be interesting to see where they go at No. 8 overall. McCaffrey is a very good player, but he isn’t enough to improve the Panthers by three games.

Pick: Under 7.5 (-110)

Atlanta Falcons, Win total: 7

The Atlanta Falcons struggled to a 4-12 season in 2020 and despite the bad record, they allowed just 18 more points than they scored throughout the season. Work needs to be done to improve that record, but that slight point margin suggests their record should’ve been better. Defensively, Atlanta needs to improve quite a bit on last year, but they continue to have some dangerous weapons on the outside for Matt Ryan. The Falcons should take advantage of the bad schedule they are likely to see as teams that finish last place in the division typically will have.

Pick: Over 7 (-143)

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