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How public is betting and DFS considerations for Kamaru Usman vs. Jorge Masvidal

Kamaru Usman and Jorge Masvidal meet for the welterweight championship in the main event of UFC 261 on April 24. We break down how the betting public is picking the fight and the DFS pricing from DraftKings.

UFC welterweight champion Kamaru Usman of Nigeria poses on the scale during the ceremonial UFC 261 weigh-in at VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena on April 23, 2021 in Jacksonville, Florida. Photo by Josh Hedges/Zuffa LLC

On Saturday night in Jacksonville, Fl., Jorge Masvidal will challenge Kamaru Usman in the main event at UFC 261 for the welterweight championship. These two mixed martial artists fought each other at UFC 251 last year, with Usman winning by unanimous decision.

“Gamebred” Masvidal enters the octagon with a professional fighting record of 35-14 and as a big underdog (+355). The 36-year-old is receiving 43% of the handle and 42% of the bets. The veteran fighter is is ranked fourth in the welterweight division. Masvidal last fought at UFC 251, where he lost to Usman. Before that bout, he defeated Nate Diaz in 2019 at UFC 244 by technical knockout (doctor stoppage) in Round 3.

Meanwhile, Usman walks into the octagon as the favorite (-500), and is receiving 57% of the handle and 58% of bets. The 33-year-old fighter has a flawless professional fighting record of 18-1. “The Nigerian Nightmare” is the welterweight champion and is ranked second in the men’s pound-for-pound rankings. Usman last fought at UFC 258 earlier this year, where he defeated Gilbert Burns by TKO in Round 3.

Here are the odds and betting splits at DraftKings Sportsbook for Kamaru Usman vs. Jorge Masvidal at UFC 261 on April 24.

Odds and Betting splits

Kamaru Usman: -500 (57% of action, 58% of bets)
Jorge Masvidal: +355 (43% of action, 42% of bets)

Winning Method

Kamaru Usman By Decision: -139 (19% of action, 24% of bets)
Kamaru Usman By KO, TKO or DQ: +275 (28% of action, 25% of bets)
Kamaru Usman By Submission: +1400 (6% of action, 8% of bets)
Jorge Masvidal By Decision: +1200 (8% of action, 9% of bets)
Jorge Masvidal By KO, TKO or DQ: +400 (33% of action, 28% of bets)
Jorge Masvidal By Submission: +1400 (3% of action, 5% of bets)
Tie: +6600 (2% of action, 3% of bets)

DraftKings DFS Values

Kamaru Usman: $9,400
Jorge Masvidal: $6,800

Usman is the second-highest priced fighter on Saturday night’s card and is likely someone you want to lead off your lineup card. “The Nigerian Nightmare” is averaging 123.6 fantasy points per fight and has scored 100 fantasy points or more in five-straight bouts. Out of those five bouts, Usman won four via decision or KO/TKO. He also averaged 124.6 significant strikes per fight, which is pretty good. It’s hard to bet against someone who has not lost a fight since 2013.

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