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Breaking down Super Bowl coin toss betting splits

We break down the novelty coin toss prop bets and predictions available on DraftKings Sportsbook ahead of Super Bowl 55.

A view of the coin toss prior to Super Bowl LII between the New England Patriots and the Philadelphia Eagles at U.S. Bank Stadium on February 4, 2018 in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Photo by Rob Carr/Getty Images

Everyone’s favorite prop bet is just around the corner, as the Super Bowl 55 matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and Tampa Bay Buccaneers is set to kick off on Feb. 7 at 6:30 p.m. ET in Raymond James Stadium. Coin toss wagers are one of the most popular novelty prop bets offered by DraftKings Sportsbook, and they involve the toss result, who wins the toss if the player calling it is correct, and who wins the game. We broke down the odds below.

Coin toss outcome

Regardless of whether the coin lands on heads or tails, the odds are -103. You’ve got a 50 percent chance of getting this one right, but recent results suggest that one of the two options will give you an edge. The motto “tails never fails” has held true lately, as the coin has landed on tails in six of the last seven Super Bowls. The circumstances surrounding this Super Bowl aren’t the norm, but I’d stick with the side that has all the “momentum” in the world. The public has placed 55 percent of the handle and 52 percent of the total bets on tails.

Coin toss winner

The Chiefs were the home team last year and didn’t get to make the call, but that’s not the case this year. You have to think that Kansas City knows how Super Bowl coin tosses have played out in recent title games. Both sides are locked in at -106 to win the toss, but I like the chances of the team that gets to actually make the call. The public seems to think the Chiefs will blow it. The Buccaneers command 56 percent of the handle and bets on coin toss winner wagers.

Player calls toss correctly

Whether the player who makes the call is right or wrong, the odds are -106. If you believe the Chiefs have an edge because their fate doesn’t depend on the opposition’s decision, they’re the best choice. But who knows, maybe Kansas City will go against the grain and call heads. The betting splits are a bit odd here. The public has placed 74 percent of the handle and 70 percent of the total bets on Kansas City to call the coin toss correctly despite backing the Bucs as the coin toss winner.

Result of coin toss and game winner

This is a yes/no market. Will team X win the toss and win the game. The Chiefs are 3.5-point favorites, so it makes sense that their odds to win the coin toss and the game are +205 while the Buccaneers clock in at +355. Kansas City’s odds of not getting both are -265, while Tampa Bay’s are -500. The coin toss is random, so picking the side you think will win is probably the best bet. If you luck out with the coin toss result to start and think you’ve picked a winner, you’ll be in good shape. For both teams’ markets, bettors have placed 99 percent of the bets and handle yes, they’ll win the toss and win the game.

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