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After a Week 9 schedule in which we saw 10 underdogs cover the spread and nine win straight up on the money line, Week 10 promises to be another exciting week. The week kicked off with the underdog Miami Dolphins defeating the Baltimore Ravens 22-10 on TNF.
Heading into Thursday night’s game, the Dolphins were 7.5-point underdogs against one of the better teams in the AFC. Can the underdogs on Sunday build off of Miami’s momentum? Or will see the favorites hold serve across the league? We are going to look at the spread, money line, or point total of a couple of games and see if the bettors are on the right track.
Detroit Lions (+5.5) vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
With Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback Ben Roethlisberger being put on the reserve/COVID-19 list on Saturday night, it appears as if the public has some type of confidence that the winless Detroit Lions can keep it close. As we gear up for the 1:00 p.m. ET kickoff, the Lions are receiving 47% of the handle and 53% of the bets.
Earlier in the week, the Lions were 8.5-9 point underdogs with Roethlisberger under center. The last time we saw Detroit play, they got absolutely destroyed by the Philadelphia Eagles 44-6 on Halloween. However, we’ve also seen Detroit play tough on the road against the Los Angeles Rams and against the Ravens at home.
Cleveland Browns vs. New England Patriots (O/U 45.5)
For some reason, the Browns-Patriots’ game point total is set at 45.5, despite both teams missing their starting running backs. Cleveland is without Nick Chubb, Kareem Hunt, and third-string running back John Kelly. This means that D’Ernest Johnson, who had a standout performance a few weeks ago against the Broncos will get the start.
As for the Patriots, they will not have Damien Harris, who is dealing with a concussion. With no Harris, we should see a combination of Rhamondre Stevenson, J.J. Taylor, and Brandon Bolden in the backfield. Both of these offenses are not prolific, but the over is receiving 45% of the handle and 59% of the bets. The point total has gone over in four of New England’s last six games against Cleveland. I don’t except to see Mac Jones or Baker Mayfield having a ton of success against these two solid defenses.
2021 NFL betting splits, Week 10
| Teams | Spread | % Handle | % Bets | Total Points | % Handle | % Bets | Moneyline | % Handle | % Bets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teams | Spread | % Handle | % Bets | Total Points | % Handle | % Bets | Moneyline | % Handle | % Bets |
| ATL Falcons | +7.5 | 28% | 46% | Over 54.5 | 74% | 50% | +280 | 22% | 19% |
| DAL Cowboys | -7.5 | 72% | 54% | Under 54.5 | 26% | 50% | -365 | 78% | 81% |
| BUF Bills | -13 | 73% | 58% | Over 47.5 | 62% | 51% | -650 | 83% | 88% |
| NY Jets | +13 | 27% | 42% | Under 47.5 | 38% | 49% | +460 | 17% | 12% |
| CLE Browns | +2.5 | 50% | 59% | Over 45.5 | 45% | 59% | +125 | 56% | 67% |
| NE Patriots | -2.5 | 50% | 41% | Under 45.5 | 55% | 41% | -145 | 44% | 33% |
| DET Lions | +5.5 | 47% | 53% | Over 40.5 | 30% | 47% | +190 | 26% | 21% |
| PIT Steelers | -5.5 | 53% | 47% | Under 40.5 | 70% | 53% | -235 | 74% | 79% |
| JAX Jaguars | +10 | 26% | 42% | Over 47.5 | 48% | 40% | +340 | 17% | 11% |
| IND Colts | -10 | 74% | 58% | Under 47.5 | 52% | 60% | -450 | 83% | 89% |
| NO Saints | +3 | 26% | 23% | Over 43.5 | 60% | 68% | +140 | 24% | 27% |
| TEN Titans | -3 | 74% | 77% | Over 49.5 | 60% | 68% | -160 | 76% | 73% |
| TB Buccaneers | -9.5 | 84% | 80% | Over 50.5 | 54% | 54% | -410 | 97% | 95% |
| WAS Football Team | +9.5 | 16% | 20% | Under 50.5 | 46% | 46% | +310 | 3% | 5% |
| CAR Panthers | +9 | 52% | 43% | Over 43.0 | 26% | 74% | +290 | 11% | 9% |
| ARI Cardinals | -9 | 48% | 57% | Under 43.0 | 74% | 26% | -380 | 89% | 91% |
| MIN Vikings | +3.5 | 48% | 42% | Over 53.0 | 86% | 56% | +155 | 67% | 40% |
| LA Chargers | -3.5 | 52% | 58% | Under 53.0 | 14% | 44% | -180 | 33% | 60% |
| PHI Eagles | +1.5 | 62% | 44% | Over 44.5 | 73% | 56% | +105 | 69% | 47% |
| DEN Broncos | -1.5 | 38% | 56% | Under 44.5 | 27% | 44% | -125 | 31% | 53% |
| SEA Seahawks | +3 | 29% | 33% | Over 49.5 | 48% | 54% | +140 | 36% | 38% |
| GB Packers | -3 | 71% | 67% | Under 49.5 | 52% | 46% | -160 | 64% | 62% |
| KC Chiefs | -3 | 62% | 64% | Over 51.5 | 51% | 54% | -150 | 42% | 57% |
| LV Raiders | +3 | 38% | 36% | Under 51.5 | 49% | 46% | +130 | 58% | 43% |
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