Are you ready for bad football in bad weather? The recently-raided American Conference is here for you!
While South Florida (2-5, 1-2 AAC) isn’t great, they’ve played much better the last two weeks under starting quarterback Timmy McClain. McClain was held out as a precaution for the second half of the win vs. Temple last week, the first for the Bulls against an FBS team in almost two years.
ECU (3-4, 1-2 AAC) has played plenty of close ones, with five one-score games finishing 2-3. Quarterback Holton Ahlers shows flashes, but also turns it over a ton: He’s got 10 TD’s but six interceptions this season, and the Pirates average a lost fumble per contest. Can USF’s shaky defense do anything about it?
Here’s all the data you’ll need, and a pick for the game!
USF: 110 overall, 109 offense, 112 defense
ECU: 92 overall, 88 offense, 91 defense
WR Xavier Weaver is questionable with an undisclosed injury
No injuries reported
Against The Spread
USF: 4-3 ATS
ECU: 4-2-1 ATS
USF: Over 4-3
ECU: Over 2-5
Returning/Overall Talent from 247Sports
USF: 72 overall, 55 offense, 55 defense
ECU: 74 overall, 71 offense, 78 defense
Current lines at DraftKings Sportsbook
Spread: ECU -10
Moneyline: ECU -400, USF +300
Opening line: ECU -7.5
Opening total: 58.5
65 degrees, 8 MPH wind, 60% chance of rain, rain chance increasing as game continues
Two bad offenses in bad weather. Since USF will try to run the ball mostly out of their spread attack, they should be ok in the slop. They’re slower in pace than most college teams, and their defense might appreciate a wet ball from a quarterback that has plenty of turnovers.
But if ECU can get the short pass game going, they’ll find that USF struggles to cover deep down field. Expect plenty of dink-and-dunk with soft coverage from the Bulls, which will keep the clock moving and the scoreboard less so.
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