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How the public is betting Colts vs. Bills in the AFC Wild Card round

We break down the betting splits for Colts and Bills in the AFC Wild Card round of the 2021 NFL Playoffs.

The Buffalo Bills huddle before the game against the New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium on December 28, 2020 in Foxborough, Massachusetts. Photo by Maddie Malhotra/Getty Images

The No. 7 seed Indianapolis Colts will head on the road to play the No. 2 seed Buffalo Bills in the first game of Super Wild Card Weekend on Saturday afternoon. The playoff game will be televised on CBS.

The Colts (11-5) are coming into the playoffs off a 28-14 win over the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 17. Indianapolis has also won four of their last five games. As for the Bills (13-3), they ended the regular season with an impressive 56-26 victory over the Miami Dolphins. Just like the Colts, the Bills are entering the playoffs as one of the hottest teams. Buffalo has won six-straight games and are averaging 47.3 points per in their last three games.

So where are sports bettors going as we get closer to game time? Let’s take a look. All odds and info were provided by DraftKings Sportsbook.

Point Spread

Buffalo is favored by 6.5 points heading into Saturday’s AFC playoff game. The Bills are also receiving 80% of the bets and 85% of the handle.

Is the public right?

Yes, the public is right. As previously mentioned, the Bills have been one of the best teams in the NFL. Recently, they have been blowing teams out by 20-plus margins. Also, the Bills have a perfect record of 8-0 against the spread in their last eight games.

Buffalo quarterback Josh Allen and wide receiver Stefon Diggs are the difference makers in this game and will give the fundamentally sound Colts’ defense trouble on Saturday. But I will say this won’t be an easy cover because Indianapolis can run the football with rookie running back Jonathan Taylor.


The point total for this AFC Wild Card contest is set at 51. As of now, 80% of the bets and 87% of the handle are siding with the over.

Is the public right?

Once again, the bettors are being smart with their money. The Bills have been a scoring machine in their last three games, averaging 47.3 points per game. This season, Buffalo is averaging 31.3 points per game, which ranks second behind the Green Bay Packers. As for the Colts, they are averaging 28.8 points per game on the road, while their defense is only allowing 22.8 points per game.

Additionally, here’s something else to keep in mind — the point total has went over in eight of the Colts’ last 12 games. The point total has went over in 11 of the Bills’ last 16 games.


The Bills have moneyline odds of -278, with the Colts’ odds coming in at +240. Out of all the moneyline bets placed for this game, Buffalo is seeing 82% of the bets and 83% of the handle.

Is the public right?

The public overall loves the Bills and who can blame with how they’ve played this season? They are the only team as of right now that can possibly upset the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC championship. Not to mention, they got the firepower on offense and the playmakers on defense. This should be a good game between these two AFC squads but put your money down on Buffalo.

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