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We had to endure the longest break between games do far in the NBA bubble. The Boston Celtics and Miami Heat haven’t played since Game 3 on Saturday, so they’ve had more than three days off before Game 4 on Wednesday. The Celtics had dropped into a 2-0 hole surprisingly and that sparked a locker room feud between Marcus Smart and Jaylen Brown. That dispute only fueled the Celtics in a convincing win in Game 3 to make the series 2-1. With a crucial Game 4 on tap for Wednesday, we’ll get you ready for the game.
Game Time/TV Channel/Streaming
Game 4 on Wednesday will take place at 8:30 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcasted on ESPN and will be streaming on the Watch ESPN app.
Point Spread, Totals, Odds
Spread: Celtics -3
Over/Under: 210
Moneyline: Celtics (-152), Heat (+128)
Here are some betting splits via DraftKings Sportsbook as of this afternoon.
After the 3-day break, a heavy majority of the public is leaning on the Celtics. After dropping two games and getting Gordon Hayward back, the Celtics looked dominant in Game 3. So 72% of the handle is on Boston on the spread and 62% of the handle is on the Celts on the ML. There’s also a lot of action on the Over at 210.5. As I’ve alluded to, the long layoff between games should be quicker legs and potentially poor defense early on.
Celtics-Heat Game 4 Splits
| Teams | Point Spread | % Handle | % Bets | Total Points | % Handle | % Bets | Moneyline | % Handle | % Bets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teams | Point Spread | % Handle | % Bets | Total Points | % Handle | % Bets | Moneyline | % Handle | % Bets |
| BOS Celtics | -3.5 | 72% | 58% | Over 210.5 | 83% | 78% | -159 | 62% | 48% |
| MIA Heat | 3.5 | 28% | 42% | Under 210.5 | 17% | 22% | 133 | 38% | 52% |
The Best Bet: Marcus Smart OVER 2.5 3-pointers (+150)
Aside from the past two games, Smart has been doing nothing but shoot in the playoffs. He has at least 6 attempts from outside in eight of the past 10 games. This number is likely down due to the return of Gordon Hayward in Game 3. Hayward came off the bench and Smart still played 36 minutes and was the starter. I think Smart didn’t attempt as many shots in Game 3 because the Celtics went up early and there wasn’t a need to shoot out of a hole. The Heat should come back and make Game 4 a lot more competitive. If that’s the case, plus knowing each team had 3+ days of rest, I expect a faster-paced game. The number on Smart for 3-pointers had been 3.5 without the juice. Now we get a lower number that’s juiced up. I think there’s value here.
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