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NBA DFS breakdown, lineup notes for August 31

You’ll need Giannis Antetokounmpo or James Harden in Monday’s two-game slate to come out on top.

James Harden of the Houston Rockets dribbles the ball up court during Round One, Game Five of the NBA Playoffs on August 29, 2020 at The Field House in Orlando, Florida.  Photo by Nathaniel S. Butler/NBAE via Getty Images

Monday’s main NBA slate on DraftKings is only two games, so it could be hard to find variance in DFS contests. We’ll go over a breakdown of the classic slate below. Let’s get into it!

Bucks vs. Heat, 6:30 p.m. ET

Spread: MIL (-5.5)
Over/Under: 224
Here’s our Showdown breakdown of this game.

This stands out as the most stackable matchup in this small, two-game slate. There are tons of options that could return big-time value, but the Heat have the most enticing roster.

One of my favorite options is building around Miami’s core of Goran Dragic ($6,600), Jimmy Butler ($8,100), and Bam Adebayo ($7,700). Dragic’s has been very productive since moving into the starting lineup and has benefitted from Kendrick Nunn being booted from the rotation. He’s a significant step up from Markelle Fultz and D.J. Augustine, and both those guards gave the Bucks problems in the first round. Butler will be chalk because he’s easily the top play at small forward. I’ll take his versatility over the shaky Khris Middleton ($7,900) any day of the week. Adebayo cracked 40 DKFP in three of his four games against the Indian Pacers in the first round and Milwaukee forfeited more than 50 DKFP per game to Nikola Vucevic. I expect the All-Star to own the post.

Giannis Antetokounmpo ($11,400) is the most expensive option in the slate and could be one of the highest owned players in the slate, but Adebayo has excelled as one of the better defenders against the reigning MVP. Cheaper plays like George Hill ($4,200) could be a factor if Eric Bledsoe ($5,300) is ruled out because of his knee injury though.

Rockets vs. Thunder, 9:00 p.m. ET

Spread: HOU (-5)
Over/Under: 226.5
Here’s our Showdown breakdown of this game.

I like pivoting off Antetokounmpo for James Harden ($11,300) here in GPPs. The return of Russell Westbrook ($9,700) and the blowout in Game 5 could make some lower on Harden, but I don’t see Luguentz Dort ($4,200) leading the Thunder in shot attempts for a second straight game. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ($7,100) bamboozled me into thinking he figured things out offensively and scored a whopping 4 points. I think he’ll play a lot better this time around to make Game 6 a close.

P.J. Tucker ($4,300) has been very productive in his last two outings and stands out as the top play under $5,000. Dennis Schroder ($6,400) and Jeff Green ($5,400) are the bench options I’d keep an eye on.

Locks of the Day: James Harden ($11,300) or Giannis Antetokounmpo ($11,400)