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How the public is betting Herbert Burns vs. Daniel Pineda

Herbert Burns faces Daniel Pineda in a featherweight bout at UFC 252 from Las Vegas on August 15th. We break down how the betting public is picking the fight.

Opponents Herbert Burns of Brazil and Daniel Pineda face off during the UFC 252 weigh-in at UFC APEX on August 14, 2020 in Las Vegas, Nevada. Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC

Two featherweights seeking the Top 15 rankings with a victory make it to the main card of UFC 252 when Herbert Burns takes on Daniel Pineda live on Saturday night in Las Vegas. Burns missed the 146-pound weight limit by 3.5 pounds, and will forfeit 30% of his purse to Pineda

Burns is a rising star along side his brother Gilbert, the #1 contender at welterweight. With an 11-2 with eight submissions and a knockout in his MMA career, he is 2-0 record in the UFC with two first-round stoppages and only 4:03 of total fight time. He’s landed a total of 12 strikes and two takedowns in his dominating victories, including his last outing on June 6th at UFC 250, an 80-second win via rear-naked choke over Evan Dunham.

Pineda makes his return to the UFC after being dropped from the roster with a 3-4 record in March 2014. The 35-year-old returns with a 26-13-2 record as an MMA fighter, but had his last two bouts in the Professional Fighters League overturned by the Nevada State Athletic Commission for elevated testosterone levels. His drug suspension ended April 18th, and the Houston, Texas resident was 8-2 since leaving the promotion. His exciting style has led to never winning a fight that’s gone to a decision: All 26 of his wins are finishes, eight knockouts and 18 submissions to end all his fights.

Betting splits

Here are the betting splits at DraftKings Sportsbook for Herbert Burns vs. Daniel Pineda at UFC 252 on August 15th:

Herbert Burns: -286 (87% of action, 90% of bets)
Jairzinho Rozenstruik: +225, (13% of action, 10% of bets)

Winning method splits

Here are the splits for the method of victory at DraftKings Sportsbook for Herbert Burns vs. Daniel Pineda at UFC 251 on August 15th:

Burns-Pineda Winning Method

Fights Odds % Handle % Bets
Fights Odds % Handle % Bets
Herbert Burns By Submission -150 90% 74%
Herbert Burns By Decision +650 5% 5%
Daniel Pineda By Submission +1400 2% 6%
Herbert Burns By KO, TKO or DQ +650 1% 13%
Daniel Pineda By KO, TKO or DQ +500 1% 1%
Daniel Pineda By Decision +650 1% 1%

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