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What no home fans could mean for Jets point spreads in 2020

The Jets are not expected to have fans in the stands for the 2020 season. We take a look at their current home point spreads and what it might mean.

Metlife Stadium is illuminated in blue to honor essential workers on April 09, 2020 in East Rutherford, New Jersey. Landmarks and buildings across the nation are displaying blue lights to show support for health care workers and first responders on the front lines of the COVID-19 pandemic. Photo by Mike Coppola/Getty Images

The NFL hopes to open its 2020 season on time, but some or all of their teams can expect to be playing home games without fans in the stadium. Each locale is implementing different rules, and today we learned that both the New York Giants and New York Jets will play with no fans in the seats.

As these reports become official, we’ll start to see some changes in point spreads for their home games. DraftKings Sportsbook has provided lines for the Giants Week 1-16 games, and no line for their Week 9 tilt against the Patriots due to the recent signing of Cam Newton. Here is where they currently stand:

vs. 49ers: +5.5
vs. Broncos: +1
vs. Cardinals: -1
vs. Bills: +1.5
vs. Patriots: TBD
vs. Dolphins: -3.5
vs. Raiders: -1.5
vs. Browns: +1.5

In sports betting, home field advantage is viewed as being worth roughly 2 to 3 points. Some teams like the Seahawks, Saints, and Chiefs have a more significant advantage than other teams.

DK Sportsbook oddsmaker Johnny Avello said he would cut a home field advantage in half with no fans in the stands. The Jets had a 2.5-point home field advantage at the end of the 2019 season, so 1 to 1.5 points is the likely change. There is still benefit of knowing your home stadium and locker room, and not having to travel, so you still get some boost playing at home. But, it will not be nearly what it would be if there were fans in the stands.

If the Jets lose 1 to 1.5 points in home field advantage, we could see three games move to even, as they are slight favorites against the Broncos, Bills and Browns. Of course, not all lines are created equal so this is just a basic projection for the time being. However, sportsbooks have yet to make a move with the potential for no fans in the stand, so there could be some value to be found in early lines.

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