clock menu more-arrow no yes mobile

Filed under:

Lineup advice for UFC 251 $2.25M The Island Millionaire contest

UFC 251 kicks off a 13-fight card starting at 6:00 p.m. ET on ESPN+. We’ve got picks and lineup strategy to help you in DraftKings contest where someone goes home with $1 million.

Opponents Kamaru Usman of Nigeria and Jorge Masvidal face off during the UFC 251 official weigh-in inside Flash Forum at UFC Fight Island on July 10, 2020 on Yas Island Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC

Tonight’s UFC 251 card has plenty of contests available at DraftKings, but The Island Millionaire has a $2.25 million prize pool, and $1 million guaranteed to the winner for just a $25 entry. That same winner will also earn a ticket to the Big Game in America’s Next Great City, Tampa, Florida, on Feburary 7th to compete for another $1M top prize

Contestants will select six fighters and must not exceed the salary cap of $50,000. And with a premium on stopping your opponent early, picking fighters that can end things in one round or less would be a great way to advance to the top of the table.

Here’s how the scoring works, and notice how heavily it leans towards winning big and early:


Significant Strikes: +0.5 Pts
Advance: +3 Pts
Takedown: +5 Pts
Reversal/Sweep: +5 Pts
Knockdown: +10 Pts

Fight Conclusion Bonuses

1st Round Win: +90 Pts
2nd Round Win: +70 Pts
3rd Round Win: +45 Pts
4th Round Win: +40 Pts
5th Round Win: +40 Pts
Decision Win: +30 Pts

Here are our best bets for Draft Kings The Island Millionaire for UFC 251.

Rose Namajunas ($9,000)

There’s a strong chance “Thug” gets an early stoppage here and ends this, which she has done in six of her eight career wins. This is a revenge fight for her, and she was ahead on DFS and judges points before being slammed by Jessica Andrade the last time they faced each other. That’s unlikely to happen again, so we’ll pay the premium for her tonight.

Volkan Oezdemir ($8,400)

We’ve been wrong before, but this one is based on scouting: We thnk Oezdemir gets an early stoppage, and thus has value on DFS rosters. His opponent Jiri Prochazka may continue to develop, but new UFC fighters that move up in opponent quality don’t often succeed the first time through.

Marcin Tybura ($8,100)

Maxim Grishin is giving up 30 pounds and way too much UFC experience here. We’ll be on Tybura, and hope Grishin finds a path in the promotion after a full camp instead of as a replacement fighter that’s playing up a division. Grishin might be a light heavyweight naturally instead of a heavyweight, but this is just asking too much on short notice despite his talent. Tybura averages 1.54 takedowns per 15 minutes, and if he can get Grishin on the mat he’s got 14 kilograms he can use to lean on his opponent and wear him down.