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How the public is betting Petr Yan vs. Jose Aldo

Petr Yan faces off against Jose Aldo in a bantamweight title bout at UFC 251 from Fight Island on July 11th. We break down how the betting public is picking the fight.

The UFC Bantamweight Championship is vacant, but won’t be after Petr Yan takes on Jose Aldo at UFC 251 tonight from Fight Island.

Petr Yan is 14-1, 6-0 in the UFC, with seven stoppages in his career. He’s a striker that averaging 5.65 punches landed per minute in the octagon, and 1.73 takedowns per 15 minutes. His KO kick of Urijah Faber in November got him the #3 spot in the Bantamweight division, and tonight he fights as the favorite to be the champion

Aldo has held the belt before and was the inaugural UFC featherweight champion in 2010. He defended his title seven times before being dropped by Conor McGregor in 2015. Since that KO he’s 3-4 in the UFC, but is one of the most respected fighters in MMA ever with a 28-6 record. Though he lands only 3.47 strikes per minute, his takedown defense of 91% is elite, and his blend of jiu-jitsu and muay thai make him an elite fighter even as an underdog.

Betting splits

Here are the betting splits at DraftKings Sportsbook for Petr Yan vs. Jose Aldo at UFC 251 on July 11th:

Petr Yan: Opened -240, now -215 (68% of action, 64% of bets)
Jose Aldo: Opened +188, now +175 (32% of action, 36% of bets)

Winning method splits

Here are the splits for the method of victory at DraftKings Sportsbook for Petr Yan vs. Jose Aldo at UFC 251 on July 11th:

Yan-Aldo Winning Method

Winning Method Odds % Handle % Bets
Winning Method Odds % Handle % Bets
Petr Yan By KO, TKO or DQ +110 55% 49%
Petr Yan By Decision +275 27% 24%
Jose Aldo By KO, TKO or DQ +450 7% 13%
Jose Aldo By Decision +400 7% 11%
Petr Yan By Submission +1800 3% 2%
Jose Aldo By Submission +1800 1% 2%
Tie +6600 < 1% 1%

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