How the public is betting Marcin Tybura vs. Maxim Grishin

Two heavyweights that are picked as dead even by bookmakers square off when Marcin Tybura takes on replacement fighter Maxim Grishin at UFC 251 tonight in Abu Dhabi. To be remembered when handicapping this fight is the weight advantage for Tybura, who came in at 252 lbs. yesterday at weigh-in, while the substitute Grishin was only at 223 lbs.

Tybura is 18-6, 5-5 in the UFC, and serves at gatekeeper for his newcomer opponent here. He averages just 3.52 strikes per minute, which means he’s getting the fight on the ground with his 1.54 takedowns per 15 if possible. The 34-year-old from Poland has 13 career stoppages, one more via knockout than submission.

Grishin is 30-7-2, but has only lost once since 2012 and is 19-1-2 since. He was 4-0-2 in the Professional Fighters League, and moves up to the UFC with 21 stoppages, 15 by knockout. The 36-year-old is from Tambov, Russia, and here’s a highlight video if you want to see what he’s got to offer.

Here are the betting splits at DraftKings Sportsbook for Marcin Tybura vs. Maxim Grishin at UFC 251 on July 11th:

Betting splits

Marcin Tybura: -112 (37% of action, 24% of bets)
Maxim Grishin: -112 (63% of action, 76% of bets)

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