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How the public is betting Zhalgas Zhumagulov vs. Raulian Paiva

Zhalgas Zhumagulov faces off against Raulian Paiva in a flyweight bout at UFC 251 from Fight Island on July 11th. We break down how the betting public is picking the fight.

Opponents Raulian Paiva of Brazil and Zhalgas Zhumagulov of Kazakhstan face off during the UFC 251 official weigh-in inside Flash Forum at UFC Fight Island on July 10, 2020 on Yas Island Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC

Raulian Paiva missed weight by three pounds yesterday for his flyweight bout with Zhalgas Zhumagulov at UFC 251 tonight on “Fight Island.” But it didn’t move the line at all, as it had already slid away from him slightly.

The Brazilian Paiva is 19-3 in MMA, but 1-2 in the UFC after getting his first win over Mark De La Rosa in February via knockout. He has just four KO’s and three submission wins in his career. Landing 4.81 strikes per minute, he’s only successfully completed one takedown in his UFC career, but has also parried 79% of takedown shots attempted.

Zhumagulov makes his UFC debut from the Fight Night Global promotion. His last four fights went the distance, three of them for five rounds, but he does have six knockouts and one submission on his 13-3 career record. The 31-year-old Kazakhstani has only been stopped early once as a professional.

Here are the betting splits at DraftKings Sportsbook for Zhalgas Zhumagulov vs. Raulian Paiva at UFC 251 on July 11th:

Betting splits

Raulian Paiva: Opened -190, now -180 (55% of action, 57% of bets)
Zhalgas Zhumagulov: Opened +150, now +142 (45% of action, 43% of bets)

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