We’re all in need of some entertainment during these times of the unknown. DraftKings is doing their part by offering Madden simulations with a variety of teams going at it. For this piece, we’ll focus on the Bills and Packers game that will take place at 6 p.m. ET Tuesday.
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Note: All salaries will be Flex prices unless noted as Captain’s Pick prices
Green Bay Packers
Aaron Rodgers ($12,000) is the better quarterback in this game with an 89 overall rating, but I don’t think he’s the stronger play at the position. He averages 17.3 DKFP to the 16.9 DKFP average for Allen. The issue I have with Rodgers is the price tag. This is a really lofty price tag and playing Rodgers could make it tough to fill the rest of our lineup with quality players. Rodgers isn’t an outright fade although I wouldn’t play him in the Captain spot or go out of my way to jam him into a lineup.
If spending up for a wide receiver, I think Davante Adams ($11,600) is a slightly better play than John Brown ($8,200). He averages 16.3 DKFP and is one of the best receivers in Madden. Adams has a 94 overall rating and has a slightly easier matchup than Brown. Tre’Davious White has an 88 overall and is a great cornerback, but Adams still has the rating advantage in this spot. In his last 15 games, Adams has caught 14 touchdowns passes. He finds the end zone more often than not.
Aaron Jones ($9,200) is not one of the starting running backs performing well in Madden. Jones is averaging just 7.0 DKFP and has topped out at 78 rushing yards in the Packers’ simulated game. He barely outscores his backup, Jamaal Williams ($2,600), who is averaging 5.5 DKFP. From what we have seen, focusing on the Packers’ passing game makes more sense than targeting the running game. Jones is one of the most overpriced players in this game and there shouldn’t be much risk to fading him. He only has four games scoring more than 10 DKFP.
On the cheaper end, Marquez Valdes-Scantling ($5,800) looks like a decent midrange play. MVS is only a 73 and is always at a rating disadvantage when the Packers play. Despite this fact, he’s one of the top fantasy producers on the team, averaging 10.5 DKFP. He’s coming off a game where he scored 17.9 DKFP against the Jaguars. We can also consider rostering Geronimo Allison ($3,800), who I consider a top value play in this game since he is averaging 8.1 DKFP at nearly min price. Allison is always a player I like to roster when we have a Showdown contest involving the Packers.
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I like the idea of rostering Josh Allen ($16,200 CP/$10,800) in the Captain’s slot. Like most rushing quarterbacks, he’s been a solid fantasy producer with upside. Allen averages 16.9 DKFP, so nearly as many as Rodgers and the Bills’ QB comes with a much cheaper salary. Allen has scored at least 17 DKFP in 10 of his last 12 games and has 12 total rushing touchdowns.
In real life, Allen’s top receiving threat is John Brown ($8,200). In Madden, this has not been the case. Brown is averaging just 7.8 DKFP, making it hard for me to justify paying up for his salary. He’s also at a ratings disadvantage going up against Jaire Alexander, who has an 89 overall rating. There also doesn’t appear to be much risk fading Brown due to his lack of upside in previous sims. He’s scored over 15 DKFP just once in the last 15 games.
Since Brown is off the board for me, I am looking at Tyler Kroft ($5,200) as my favorite player to stack with Allen. There isn’t a single skill position player on this team averaging more than 10 DKFP, so the pickings are slim. In Kroft, we get a guy who’s had pretty stable production. He has at least four catches in 10 of the last 12 Bills’ sims.
If you need a really cheap player to roster from the Bills, Robert Foster ($3,400) hasn’t been awful for his salary. Foster averages 6.4 DKFP and he has had a handful of games with double-digit DKFP. At a similar price point, I think Geronimo Allison is the stronger play although there is reason to roster both if you feel the need to play both the starting quarterbacks in this game.
The Packers have been rolling lately. They have won four games in a row, including a couple of blowout wins over the Browns and Bucs. The Green Bay offense has also been on point, averaging over 30 points per game during this win streak. Given how much the Packers are scoring, I find it hard to see the Bills keeping up. Buffalo has lost five of its last six games and scoring points has been an issue for this team throughout our simulations. The Bills have scored over 20 points in just two of their last 11 games. As long as the Packers put point on the board at their normal rate, they should come away with a win.
Final Score: Green Bay 27, Buffalo 17
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is gehrenberg) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.