Breaking down 2020 NFC West win total betting splits

The NFL appears to be on track to play a full season in 2020, meaning there’s a good chance our season long bets will actually play out. DraftKings Sportsbook has released betting splits for team win totals which gives us a good look into how the public sees each team’s chances this season. Whether you’re inclined to back or fade the betting public, this information offers some helpful insight into where you might want to go with your picks.

San Francisco 49ers: Win total: 10.5

Over (-110): 75% handle, 46% bets
Under (-110): 25% handle, 54% bets

Notable additions: OT, Trent Williams, DT Javon Kinlaw*, WR Brandon Aiyuk*
Notable departures: OT Joe Staley, DT DeForest Buckner, WR Emmanuel Sanders, RB Matt Breida

Both the 49ers and Seahawks lead the way in odds for the NFC West, but neither have had enough significant handle to give us much of a sample. But, after a 13-3 season and a Super Bowl birth, we’ll likely see bettors gravitating toward the over as they have so far. The biggest trouble for the 49ers will likely be their tough division, as they are set for another strong season.

Seattle Seahawks: Win total: 9.5

Over (+110): 96% handle, 91% bets
Under (-134): 4% handle, 9% bets

Notable additions: RB Carlos Hyde, CB Quinton Dunbar, TE Greg Olsen, LB Jordyn Brooks*, DE Darrell Taylor*, OG Damien Lewis*
Notable departures: OT George Fant, OT Germain Ifedi, DE Jadeveon Clowney?, DE Quinton Jefferson

The Seahawks don’t have a significant handle so far in win total wagering, but the bets that are in are overwhelmingly on the over. That makes sense, as the Seahawks have topped 9.5 wins in seven of their last eight seasons and the one that didn’t go over was a nine win season in 2017. Their defense continues to lose talent, but they haven’t been the same since moving on from the Legion of Boom. We’ll see if they can start to rebound with their new talent. Russell Wilson’s ability is what keeps them consistently winning and he should be in line for another strong year.

Los Angeles Rams: Win total: 8

Over (-125): 84% handle, 47% bets
Under (+103): 16% handle, 53% bets

Notable additions: RB Cam Akers, WR Van Jefferson, DT A’Shawn Robinson, OLB Leonard Floyd, DC Brandon Staley
Notable departures: WR Brandin Cooks, RB Todd Gurley, OLB Dante Fowler, LB Cory Littleton, DB Nickell Robey-Coleman, K Greg Zuerlein, DC Wade Phillips

It looks like the public is down on the Rams after a poor 2019, but significantly bigger wagers are being put on the over. After winning 11, 13 and nine over the last three seasons, Sean McVay has a lower bar to get over this season, making the over quite tantalizing.

Arizona Cardinals: Win total: 7

Over (-130): 95% handle, 90% bets
Under (+107): 5% handle, 10% bets

Notable additions: WR DeAndre Hopkins, LB Isaiah Simmons*, OLB Devon Kennard, DT Jordan Phillips
Notable departures: RB David Johnson

After a strong offseason and a full season under Rookie of the Year Kyler Murray’s belt, expectations are elevated for the Cardinals. DeAndre Hopkins’ arrival will likely raise expectations a bit higher than they should be, so bucking the trend here might be a good way to go even if you like the Cardinals to be competitive this year.