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How the public is betting Raphael Assuncao vs. Cody Garbrandt for UFC 250

Raphael Assuncao meets Cody Garbrandt in a bantamweight bout at UFC 250 on June 6th. We break down how the betting public is picking the fight.

Opponents Raphael Assuncao of Brazil and Cody Garbrandt face off during the UFC 250 weigh-in at UFC APEX on June 05, 2020 in Las Vegas, Nevada. Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC

Update 11:50 pm: Cody Garbrandt wins by knockout at 4:59 of the second round.


Update, 3:30 pm: We’ve got updated DraftKings Sportsbook betting splits for Garbrandt-Assuncao money line odds a few hours before UFC 250 gets going. 62 percent of handle and 65 percent of bets are on Garbrandt, who is a -148 favorite on fight day. Assuncao sits at +120.

Bettors are big believers that Cody Garbrandt can get his first MMA victory since December of 2016 tonight over Raphael Assuncao tonight at UFC 250.

When Garbrandt beat Dominick Cruz for the bantamweight championship 42 months ago, his future in UFC seemed limitless. Back-to-back losses to TJ Dillashaw changed that, and then another upset loss to Pedro Munhoz in March of last year made a formerly undefeated fighter 18-0 now winless during the Trump administration.

But bettors still think he’s still got knockout power, with 39% of the handle and bets on him to end it with Assuncao early via KO or TKO at +165. The Brazilian has dropped his last two fights, but has 14 stoppages in his 27 career wins.

Here are the betting splits at DraftKings Sportsbook for Raphael Assuncao vs. Cody Garbrandt at UFC 250 on June 6th.

Betting splits

Garbrandt-Assuncao betting splits

Market Odds % Handle % Bets
Market Odds % Handle % Bets
Cody Garbrandt ML -148 59% 65%
Raphael Assuncao ML +120 41% 35%
Cody Garbrandt By KO, TKO or DQ +165 39% 39%
Cody Garbrandt By Decision +260 24% 36%
Raphael Assuncao By Decision +325 18% 9%
Raphael Assuncao By KO, TKO or DQ +400 15% 11%
Raphael Assuncao By Submission +1000 2% 3%
Cody Garbrandt By Submission +1800 2% 2%
Tie +5000 < 1 % < 1 %

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