DFS considerations for Evan Dunham vs. Herbert Burns

Two fighters will split the difference between lightweight and middleweight, aiming for 150 lbs. each at UFC 250 when Evan Dunham faces Herbert Burns on Saturday night in Las Vegas.

DraftKings DFS Values

Herbert Burns: $8,900
Evan Dunham: $7,300

Burns watched his brother Gilbert dominate Tyron Woodley in the main event last Saturday night at UFC Fight Night in the Apex arena, and now looks to keep his positive path going. He’s 10-2 in his career with eight stoppages, seven by submission, and his only career knockout came via first-round knee strikes against Nate Landwehr in his first UFC bout in January.

Dunham is 18-8-1 career and active landing 5.35 strikes per minute with 1.83 takedowns per three rounds. But he’s lost his last two bouts, hasn’t earned a stoppage since January of 2012, and could be fighting for his UFC career here. It’s a bad combination when put together. His activity is the only reason he earns 63.8 fantasy points per fight, and he’s up against a likely better opponent here.

There is for sure value with Burns over Dunham, particularly with the success Burns has with early submissions, and Dunham’s 80% takedown defense. If Burns can shoot quickly, this fight could be over quickly.

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