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DFS considerations for Sean Woodson vs. Julian Erosa

Sean Woodson faces Julian Erosa at UFC Fight Night on ESPN on June 27th. We break down what to consider in setting your DFS lineups.

Opponents Sean Woodson and Julian Erosa face off during the UFC weigh-in at UFC APEX on June 26, 2020 in Las Vegas, Nevada. Photo by Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC

Sean Woodson was scheduled to face Kyle Nelson tonight but he was a last-minute scratch, so an 0-3 fighter steps in as a last-minute replacement in Julian Erosa on Saturday at UFC on ESPN 12.

DraftKings DFS Values

Sean Woodson: $8,800
Julian Erosa: $6,800

Woodson is a -500 favorite, the largest on the card, while Erosa comes off the bench as a +350 underdog for the catchweight battle at 150 lbs.

Woodson is 7-0 as a pro and won his UFC debut last October over Kyle Bochniak by unanimous decision. Moving up from 145 lbs here, he’s only had three stoppages in his career, and found his way to the UFC defeating Terrence McKinney in Dana White’s Contender Series by flying knee last July. He averaged 5.27 strikes per minute with no takedowns in his only full fight in the promotion.

Erosa is 23-8 overall, but was 0-3 in his turn with the UFC after earning a contract via Dana White’s Contender Series, and 1-1 prior to that in the promotion. His KO loss to Julio Arce last May saw him dropped, but he’s earned a win on the independent circuit in the meantime. Now he gets back with a chance to hopefully stick once again with a win. He’s averaged 4.18 strikes per minute and 0.83 takedowns per 15 during his five UFC career fights.

Woodson should make this one quick, and the fact his price is under $500 over par for your roster makes him a steal. Erosa only defends 58% of takedowns, and absorbs 5.04 strikes per minute. There’s just way too much value to not have Woodson all over most of your rosters tonight.

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