DFS Lineup advice for UFC Fight Night and MMA $600k Throwdown Special tonight

Tonight’s UFC card has plenty of ways to get down action, but if you can figure out who is going to win, and how, you’ll be a big winner in DraftKings MMA $600k Throwdown Special, where $150,000 is guaranteed for first place with just a $15 entry.

Each fighter has an assigned salary, and your roster will have six fighters can’t exceed the salary cap of $50,000. With a premium on stopping your opponent early, picking some strikers that can end things in one round or less is the goal to get to the top of the heap/

Here’s how the scoring works, and notice how heavily it leans towards winning big and early:

Moves

Significant Strikes: +0.5 Pts
Advance: +3 Pts
Takedown: +5 Pts
Reversal/Sweep: +5 Pts
Knockdown: +10 Pts

Fight Conclusion Bonuses

1st Round Win: +90 Pts
2nd Round Win: +70 Pts
3rd Round Win: +45 Pts
4th Round Win: +40 Pts
5th Round Win: +40 Pts
Decision Win: +30 Pts

So here are our best bets for UFC on ESPN 11’s MMA DFS tonight at DraftKings:

Frank Camacho ($8,000)

Yes, he missed weight by two pounds. But Camacho’s price was set when he was originally fighting Matt Frevola, not UFC newcomer Justin Jaymes. The overlay you’re getting with him competing against a last-minute replacement is just too great to leave off your roster, even if he’s not in tip-top condition. Despite losses in three of his last four and the weight miss, Camacho should be a winner here and provide plenty of value.

Gillian Robertson ($8,300)

Her opponent Cortney Casey thought she needed the “Hoop Of Shame” to completely disrobe before getting on the scales at the weigh-in... and then came in 2.5 pounds under the limit. It was bizarre and showed a possible lack of preparation, plus she also looked terrible from the cut and was shaking like a leaf while posing afterwards. Even before that, Robertson was the play here. She can get the fight on the mat early, and comes in at a good price that can still score you a first round stoppage.

Lyman Good ($7,300)

Sometimes you’ve got to pick an upset to keep your cap in line, and that’s what we’ll do here. Good is 21-5 in MMA, though 2-2 mark since a two-year suspension for doping. His 21 wins include 15 stoppages, and he’s very active on his feet throwing 5.32 strikes per minute while defending 75% of attempted takedowns. It’s enough to upset the rhythm of a fighter in Muhammad that wants to be plodding. Any win, even if not by stoppage, would provide value at this price.