Veteran bantamweights do battle on the main card tonight as Belal Muhammad takes on Lyman Good at UFC on ESPN 11 tonight. Will we find some DFS value in the fight?
Lyman Good: $7,300
Belal Muhammad: $8,900
Good is a +105 underdog on the money line, with Muhammad the -130 favorite
Good is 21-5 in MMA, and 2-2 mark since a two-year suspension due to a positive test for androstenedione. His 21 wins include 11 knockouts and four submissions, and he’s very active on his feet throwing 5.32 strikes per minute while defending 75% of attempted takedowns.
Muhammad has the outstanding nickname “Remember The Name” and is 16-3 as an MMA pro. He’s 7-3 in the UFC, with wins in six of his last seven, but he’s not a stoppage fighter. Only five of his 16 wins have ended early, although his last victory over Takashi Sato in September of last year was by rear-naked choke.
There’s only one way to play this fight, and that’s if you like Good to win and thus saving some cap value. Muhammad just doesn’t stop people, which means paying over par-value for him isn’t wise. Either take the underdog for an upset, or avoid this bout all-together.