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How the public is betting Clay Guida vs. Bobby Green

Clay Guida faces off against Bobby Green in a lightweight bout at UFC Fight Night on ESPN on June 20th. We break down how the betting public is picking the fight.

In this handout image provided by UFC, opponents Clay Guida and Bobby Green face off during the UFC weigh-in at UFC APEX on June 19, 2020 in Las Vegas, Nevada. Photo by Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images

UPDATE, 8:00 p.m.: Bobby Green wins by unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28). It was a close fight, but the striking advantage from Green was more than 3-1. Despite some quality work on the mat by Guida, it wasn’t enough to snag two rounds and get the win.

UPDATE, 1:50 p.m.: The DraftKings Sportsbook betting splits aren’t showing much change the afternoon of the fight. The favored Bobby Green is getting 83 percent of handle and 84 percent of total bets.

The closing match on the preliminary card of UFC on ESPN 11 tonight is Clay Guida vs. Bobby Green at lightweight, featuring a pair of veterans looking to find the rankings in a loaded division.

Guida is 38 years of age and has a 15-13 record in the UFC since 2006. He’s 35-19 overall with 20 stoppages, and “The Carpenter” has fought at both featherweight and lightweight in his career. He looks to win on the mat, averaging three takedowns every 15 minutes of octagon time. But as of now just 18% of the bets and 19% of the handle are choosing him to win tonight.

Green is 24-10 overall, but might need a win to stay on the UFC roster as he’s 1-5-1 in his last seven fights in after finding victory in his first four in the promotion. He will want to win this fight on his feet, as he lands 5.15 strikes per minute while absorbing 4.48. But the bettors think he turns it around tonight as 82% of the bets and 81% of the cash is on him to have his hand raised this evening.

Here are the betting splits at DraftKings Sportsbook for Clay Guida vs. Bobby Green at UFC on ESPN 11 on June 20th:

Betting odds

Clay Guida: opened +185, now +195
Bobby Green: opened -240, now -250

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