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The AFL season has resumed, following a pause after just one game. This article will feature plays from Saturday’s two-game slate, which is set to begin at 5:40 a.m. ET.
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After sifting through the stats, here are the targets that stand out to me in this matchup.
Set your lineups here: AFL Showdown $4K Blinder [$1K to 1st] (Late)
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Forwards
Stud
Gary Ablett, GEE vs. CAR ($7,200) – Ablett’s been super solid through two games, scoring at least 80 DKFP in each contest. He’s scored three goals, totaled 25 kicks and 20 handballs in the two matches, and is the safest play at the position by far, especially without any other legitimate targets.
Other to consider: None
Value
Charlie Cameron, BRI vs. WCE ($4,900) – Cameron is a cheap way to get some exposure to high upside, coming out of the gates after the restart and scoring 92 DKFP. He scored 52 DKFP back in the first game of the season in March, and while that’s more indicative of his usual performance, that would still be welcomed for $4,900.
Other to consider: Jack Martin ($5,500), Oscar Allen ($5,000), Levi Casboult ($4,100)
Midfielders
Stud
Lachie Neale, BRI vs. WCE ($8,100) – Midfielder is loaded with top-end plays. You can’t really go wrong with any of the three listed here, but Neale’s consistency through the first two games stood out. He absolutely stuffs the stat sheet in all areas, making him very reliable. Neale’s scored at least 108 DKFP in each match this season but hasn’t seen a price increase that mirrors the production.
Other to consider: Luke Shuey ($8,500), Andrew Gaff ($8,000)
Value
Marc Murphy, CAR at GEE ($6,100) – Murphy’s a little more expensive than your typical value play, but this is the position to spend salary. He’s put up at least 75 DKFP in each of the first two contests this season, and that’s all without scoring a goal. He produces across the board and could be due for an even bigger game if he does wind up scoring.
Other to consider: Jack Martin ($5,500), Callum Ah Chee ($4,500)
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Defenders
Stud
Sam Docherty, CAR at GEE ($7,200) – Defender is usually where I look to spend down, and the other considerations reflect that. But Docherty is the one exception to potentially pay up for. He’s coming off a great season for Carlton and has carried that into the start of this season. Docherty’s scored at least 88 DKFP in each game and does bring you that 100-DKFP upside. With so many attractive options at midfielder, this could be a contrarian play due to salary alone.
Other to consider: Tom Stewart ($6,400), Lewis Jetta ($5,900)
Value
Liam Duggan, WCE at BRI ($4,500) – Duggan’s averaging 70 DKFP, which has him standing out above similarly priced plays. A lot of that production did come from an 83-DKFP match back in March, and a lot has changed since then. But this is the only play in his price range that really provides game-changing upside, at least from what we’ve seen so far.
Other to consider: Sam Petrevski ($4,700), Brandon Starcevich ($3,800)
Ruck
Stud
Rhys Stanley, GEE vs. CAR ($6,300) – Stanley was considered an average play on his first showdown slate against Hawthorn, but he went off for 83 DKFP. He has a solid matchup in this one, and his salary shouldn’t break the bank.
Other to consider: None
Value
Marc Pittonet, CAR at GEE ($5,200) – Pittonet and Oscar McInerney have the two best matchups on the slate, and also happen to be the two cheapest plays. That leaves them in consideration. I lean toward Pittonet after having the better game in his return against Melbourne.
Other to consider: Oscar McInerney ($4,700)
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jedlow) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.