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How the public is betting Daniel Rodriguez vs. Gabriel Green

Daniel Rodriguez faces Gabriel Green in a welterweight bout at UFC on ESPN 9 in Las Vegas on May 30th. We break down how the betting public is picking the fight.

Opponents Daniel Rodriguez and Gabe Green face off during the UFC weigh-in at UFC APEX on May 29, 2020 in Las Vegas, Nevada. Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC

UPDATE 8:09 pm: Daniel Rodriguez defeats Gabriel Green by unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27). It’s only the second non-stoppage victory in his career, and he should be in the conversation of the Top 15 rankings soon.

A fight with a last-minute replacement is on the card as Daniel Rodriguez faces Gabriel Green in a lightweight bout at UFC on ESPN 9 tonight from Las Vegas. Kevin Holland was originally Rodriguez’s opponent, but was forced to drop out of his second fight in two weeks due to an injury.

Green is the last minute replacement, and unsurprisingly a significant underdog. But his 9-2 record in MMA, with all victories coming by stoppage, means he’s a more than capable fighter. Green hasn’t fought since August of 2018 however, so ring rust is a concern.

Rodriguez is 11-1 as a pro, and won his first UFC fight ever against Tim Means on February 15th. He’s got 10 stoppages from those 11 wins, and could be an up-and-comer for the Top 15 rankings in one of the most loaded divisions in the sport.

So far the odds have held steady for this one, but the odds show what the more interesting battle might be: This fight is only +100 to go over 1.5 rounds. With a pair of stoppage artists, there’s a strong chance this one doesn’t make it to a second round.

Here are the betting splits at DraftKings Sportsbook for Daniel Rodriguez vs. Gabriel Green at UFC on ESPN on May 30th:

Betting splits

Daniel Rodriguez: -335 — 81% handle, 82% bets
Gabriel Green: +250 — 19% handle, 18% bets

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